The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 16 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Hitchcock: SurrealDB will be the first database with multi-model time travel
“We will be the first database that enables you to time travel in your data in the different types of models that you can work with in SurrealDB.”
Tobie Morgan Hitchcock Oct 3, 2024 ▶ 38:51 Building The Database That Can Do It All | Tobie Morgan Hitchcock, CEO of SurrealDB
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Instacart projects reaching profitability and positive cash flow by late 2017
“And in the next 12 months, we're gonna be a profitable company, cash flow positive.”
Jeremy Stanley Sep 30, 2016 ▶ 4:50 Making On-Demand Delivery Profitable // Jeremy Stanley, Instacart (Data Driven NYC / FirstMark)
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Skonnard: Adaptive learning bet can grow Pluralsight to $10B-$20B
“That's our big bet for the future that will, Take Pluralsight from being a billion dollar company to a 10, twenty billion dollar company, is if that actually works.”
Aaron Skonnard Feb 21, 2016 ▶ 19:35 The Role of Data in Pluralsight's Technology Learning Platform // Aaron Skonnard, Pluralsight
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Kant: Poolside first compute online late 2025, 250MW by Q1 2027
“So at the beginning of Q four, end of Q three, so next year, we've got the first compute coming online. And then we're finalizing in Q one, 20, 27, the first you know, 250 megawatts, but already next summer, the next 250 megawatts starts construction. It's a s…”
Eiso Kant Nov 6, 2025 ▶ 26:40 Intelligence Isn’t Enough: Why Energy & Compute Decide the AGI Race – Eiso Kant
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Gong's $200M Series D will fund the company past an eventual IPO
“This should get us like well beyond an IPO, like that, that's the path for Gong, like within like a few years.”
Amit Bendov Nov 1, 2020 ▶ 28:34 Fireside Chat: Amit Bendov (Founder & CEO, Gong) with Matt Turck (Partner, FirstMark)
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Mehta: Customer success software market is becoming a power law
“Some spaces tend to you end up being a power law where one company ends up getting more of the space than the others. In other spaces, there's a lot of players, right? Ours is probably ending up a little bit more of a power law”
Nick Mehta Dec 17, 2015 ▶ 17:47 B2B Big Data Challenges, Nick Mehta, Gainsight (Data Driven NYC / FirstMark Capital)
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Global unstructured data generation will hit 20 million petabytes annually by 2016
“Within the next two years, the amount of unstructured data that will be generated is somewhere in the twenty million petabytes a year figure.”
Vance Loiselle Sep 22, 2014 ▶ 3:10 Vance Loiselle, Sumo Logic // Data Driven #29 // Sep 2014 (Hosted by FirstMark Capital)
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Hebbia aims to scale to 300-400 employees by the end of 2025
“And so we were opening SF and we've already opened a London office which is incredibly exciting with goals to end the year at 300 to 400 employees.”
George Sivulka May 29, 2025 ▶ 7:30 AI That Ends Busy Work — Hebbia CEO on “Agent Employees”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
~35 US states will enact data privacy regulations by late 2025
“I think by the end of 20, 25, something like 35 states in the US will have their own privacy regulation.”
Tomasz Tunguz May 16, 2024 ▶ 7:22 AI, Data and Blockchain: a VC perspective | Tomasz Tunguz, Founder of Theory Ventures
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Moonhub AI will likely handle all five recruiting stages by mid-2024
“Today, you know, the AI can't do all five stages of the process I mentioned to you. It might do stage one, stage two, We'll probably get to stage five by mid next year, but in the interim, you have a human who's actually helping you with all those other stages…”
Nancy Xu Oct 18, 2023 ▶ 17:22 Moonhub’s Nancy Xu Unveils the AI Recruiter That’s Beating LinkedIn
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Skonnard expects Pluralsight's enterprise pricing to hold while individual pricing drops
“And so over time, I would see the enterprise price point staying where it's at, and the individual price point coming way down.”
Aaron Skonnard Feb 21, 2016 ▶ 30:49 The Role of Data in Pluralsight's Technology Learning Platform // Aaron Skonnard, Pluralsight
Prediction Didn’t hold up
US oncology EHR adoption will reach 100% by 2017
“And in oncology that's about 90% or so, and growing. It'll be a hundred percent within the next two years.”
Zach Weinberg Feb 18, 2015 ▶ 4:53 Zach Weinberg, Flatiron Health // Using Data to Cure Cancer // Data Driven NYC (FirstMark Capital)
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Most data growth to 40 zettabytes by 2020 will originate from sensors
“If you look at the, you know, the forecasts that are going from the 2.8 zettabytes to 40 zettabytes in 2020 that's, most of that data is gonna be coming from sensors, right?”
Mike Abbott Oct 16, 2014 ▶ 17:01 Mike Abbott, KPCB // Data Driven #30 // Oct 2014 (Hosted by FirstMark Capital)
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Mostak: Storage costs will drop below eight dollars per terabyte by 2020
“They're saying that by 20 20, you'll be able to buy a terabyte of storage for less than eight dollars.”
Todd Mostak Apr 6, 2017 ▶ 0:59 The Power of GPU Analytics // Todd Mostak, MapD (FirstMark's Data Driven)
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Mailchimp expects to hit 10 billion monthly emails by late 2013
“That'll probably be ten billion by the end of the year.”
John Foreman Dec 5, 2013 ▶ 1:56 John Foreman, Mailchimp // Data Driven NYC 19 // October 2013
Prediction Didn’t hold up
DataMarket will adopt D3.js once IE7 and IE8 market share drops
“For the technical guys in the room, moving from Protovis, which, what, which is what we've built our stuff on, and made compatible to Internet Explorer seven and eight, which is about 20% of the business traffic on the web still, ah, to D three in probably a c…”
Hjalmar Gislason (Halmar) Dec 5, 2013 ▶ 56:18 Panel discussion // Data Driven NYC #9 // Nov 2012
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