why aren't all 711 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Ratner: DataComp benchmark beat OpenAI models purely through data curation
“Just by cleaning, curating, sampling, filtering the data, we get a new state of the art score at compute parity, beating open AI models and others.”
Assertion Supported
Eifrem: Neo4j's 2021 funding round valued the company over $2B
“We raised this round, you know, last summer, and it's the first time that we went out with some numbers, like the valuation for the first time, which was north of north of two billion. And there's actually the largest round in database history, right?”
Assertion Supported
Craib: Numerai paid $10 million to data scientists in 2021
“We've even, I think even just last year we paid ten million dollars. So it's so much higher than the rewards are so much higher than the other data science competitions on online by orders of magnitude.”
Prediction Held up
Katz: ClickHouse will build a multi-tenant cloud-managed service
“And at the same time in parallel, we are going to build A multi-tenant managed service in the cloud, which will inevitably be deployed on a variety of different cloud platforms, whether it's AWS, GCP, Azure, whether we go to China, like I've done in the past a…”
Assertion Supported
Narayan: Timely Dataflow was first stream processor to match batch processing capabilities
“It was sort of the first, what I would describe as The very first stream processor that could do everything that batch processors could do.”
Assertion Supported
Running Apache Spark on a single node is slower than Pandas
“You can use spark at the single node scale as an alternative to pandas through the koalas interface, but you'll find that for many workloads, it's simply slower than pandas, which is not super impressive.”
Assertion Supported
Stewart: Amazon Aurora's single master limits write scaling and creates downtime risk
“If you're, if you have a lot of rights, they're still going to a single master. They didn't rewrite the execution engine. So if that master goes down, your apps offline, if you want to scale your rights, you're going to have to get a larger and larger master m…”
Assertion Supported
Pesenti: Facebook AI transformer models matched or beat Mathematica at math
“My team also applied transformer models to mathematics, you know, doing, like, things like partial derivation equation or integration and showing that, hey, it could work as well better than Mathematica or some, you know, hundred page long algorithm.”
Assertion Supported
The Cerebras Wafer Scale Engine is the world's largest processor
“This is the world's largest processor.”
Assertion Supported
Cerebras's WSE is the first chip with over 1 trillion transistors
“It is the first part that has over a trillion transistors, and we're here, and at 1.2, and it has 400,000 sparse linear algebra cores on it.”
Assertion Supported
Cerebras's WSE delivers 9 petabytes per second of memory bandwidth
“There's 18 gigabytes of memory right, right on that, ah, on that silicon wafer, and it gives an unprecedented nine gigabytes per second, sorry, nine petabytes per second of memory bandwidth.”
Assertion Supported
Cerebras routes around manufacturing defects across its 400,000 cores
“By having 400,000 independent cores, it's perfectly fine if we have a few hundred defects on there, and it's only our job to route the information flows around those defects.”
Assertion Supported
Cerebras's chip provides 10,000x the memory bandwidth of standard GPUs
“So, having solved this, we were left with a machine that was pretty impressive on most of the metrics, being larger, more cores, 10,000 times the memory bandwidth and 33,000 times the fabric bandwidth.”
Assertion Supported
Flux turns InfluxDB into a serverless execution platform for time series
“It essentially turns the database into a serverless execution platform for time series data. The idea is you can define any sort of custom logic that you want, inject it into the database, and it will periodically run that logic over the data that you're writi…”
Assertion Supported
Erb: Billions have been invested in pre-product AI hardware unicorns
“A few billion dollars have been invested in new hardware startups. There are a few unicorns already for companies that don't have products fully out yet.”
Prediction Held up
Lubin: Tech will soon allow querying data while keeping it encrypted
“In many cases very soon we're gonna be able to have data that remains encrypted at all times, yet we'll still be able to ask questions of that encrypted data”
Assertion Supported
Kulkarni: Elastic filed for IPO making $160M in revenue, more than MongoDB
“I think Elastic, which is Filed Furnace for a IPO, is an example of that. I think they're already making a hundred and sixty million In revenue, which is more than Mongo's making already, which is crazy.”
Assertion Supported
Stent: No generic text analytics platform can handle financial language
“There is no on the market generic text analytics platform that can handle this type of language. No way.”
Assertion Supported
Mostak: Tableau data extracts fail on datasets exceeding 100 million rows
“Tableau extracts are great, but they kind of fall over, either when the extract gets over a hundred million rows, a few hundred million rows, or when you have, like, streaming data doing the system.”
Assertion Supported
Golde: Uber drivers average 0.6 to 0.8 empty miles per passenger mile
“We look at some of our competitors, specifically Uber, there's a paper published again, either late last year or earlier this year, showing how many miles they ride empty on average for every single passenger mile that they do, and it's about between . Six and…”
Assertion Supported
Apple used Foursquare data to improve international maps after botched rollout
“Apple had a few problems with their map rollout, as you may have heard. And so you know, they came to us to try to improve the map data set around the world outside the U.S.”
Assertion Supported
Foursquare Predicted Chipotle's Q1 Sales Drop Within 0.3% Using Location Data
“We went on CNBC a couple weeks before Chipotle's Q-one earnings, and I said in two weeks they're gonna report their earnings, and you're gonna see same store sales down 30% in the United States post the E. Coli scale. And they were like, why should we trust yo…”
Prediction Held up
Bordes: Direct machine reading will eventually match IBM Watson's performance
“The goal is that, ah, eventually, by trying to understand the text directly, you can actually at least equal, all the information by Watson is in text, in free text.”
Assertion Supported
Corporate jargon in job postings disproportionately deters applicants of color
“Like some of that corporate jargon, the words like synergy and stakeholders and ROI. It turns out everybody hates them, but underrepresented groups, especially people of color, hate them even more. So nobody is as likely to apply when you include that language…”
Assertion Supported
WiredTiger storage engine made MongoDB ten times faster in version 3.0
“Wiretiger was not a little bit better than the previous storage engine. It really was a complete leapfrog. It was, you know, 10 times faster.”
Assertion Supported
Marcus: Autonomous driverless cars can drive in Palo Alto but not Manhattan
“In fact, they can drive in Palo Alto, but they can't drive in Manhattan.”
Assertion Supported
Marcus: Facebook M relies mostly on human operators rather than AI
“Facebook's new M service, which they have not rolled out at scale has humans on the back end. There's a little bit of AI in there, but it's mostly, ah, human beings, which is why they haven't rolled it out for a billion customers. They don't have enough human …”
Assertion Supported
Srivas: A single Apache HDFS cluster handles roughly 100 million files
“HDFS, a single cluster, can do about a hundred million files.”
Assertion Supported
Bloom: Netflix couldn't deploy its $1M prize algorithm due to complexity
“They paid a million dollar bounty, and they wound up looking at the code, and there were hundreds of separate models that were then boosted together, and they said there's no way we can do it.”
Assertion Supported
Bloom: 95% of production machine learning code is just glue code
“Algorithms are important, but 95% of all machine learning code in production is actually just glue code. It's connecting all of these different pieces together.”
Assertion Supported
Dextro was the first to offer automated video analysis as a service
“We were the first company to figure out how to get this level of analysis of what's happening in videos as a service.”
Assertion Supported
Stoica: Apache Spark won the TerraSort benchmark processing data out of memory
“Just October last year, we had this we won this kind of TerraSort benchmark. And in those, in that benchmark, the data, it's not in memory. Right? It's SSDs and so forth.”
Assertion Supported
Stoica: Apache Spark supports all major data workloads with one engine
“While we spark, You can use only one engine and only one API to support all these workloads.”
Assertion Supported
Bisignano: Most genetic research is based on European and Jewish populations
“Most of genetics actually is based on studying European and Jewish individuals just because that's been the body of literature that's been developed over the past few decades.”
Prediction Held up
LeCun predicted in 2014 that AI would mediate human social interactions
“And started thinking about the next 10 years. What are the next 10 years going to be for social interactions? And it's pretty obvious to a lot of people that a lot of our interactions you know, with our friends and a lot of interactions with the digital world …”
Prediction Held up
LeCun predicted in 2014 deep learning would conquer natural language processing
“There's a kind of a sense that in the community that the next set of techniques to kind of fall to deep learning, if you want, will be natural language processing.”
Assertion Supported
NOAA collects 20 terabytes of weather data daily but releases only 10%
“They still have 20 terabytes of data that they collect and create a day around weather, and they're only making 10% of that available.”
Assertion Supported
Global AIS ship tracking relies entirely on an unverified honor system
“So we have one hundred million data points a day analog, which are based on an honor system that trusts every vessel to tell whatever it wants about itself.”
Assertion Supported
One percent of global ships transmit false identities
“One percent of all the ships today transmit false identity.”
Assertion Supported
Maritime identity fraud increased 30% over two years
“And that showed up 30% in the last two years”
Assertion Supported
55% of global ships misreport their actual destinations throughout their journeys
“55% of ships misreport their actual port of call through all the journey.”
Assertion Supported
Gutierrez: Credit card availability to non-prime market dropped by $120B
“From 2009 to more recently, ah, there's been a reduction of about a hundred and twenty billion dollars of, Credit card availability to the subprime, nonprime market.”
Assertion Supported
Laplanche: Lending Club's expense ratio is under 2% vs banks' 5-7%
“That ratio for most banks is between five and seven percent, so it's really all operating costs divided by total loans outstanding, that's between five and seven percent. The same metric at Lending Club is less than two percent, and it's coming down quarter af…”
Assertion Supported
Firms spent $300M on fiber cables cutting NY-London latency by 5ms
“Ships now laying new fiber optic cables between New York and London to show five milliseconds of round trip time at the cost of three hundred million dollars.”
Assertion Supported
DARPA and intelligence agencies fund automated narrative manipulation research
“The KGB's just put money into this. IAPA and DARPA have got money going into this stuff.”
Assertion Supported
Sisense analyzed 10 terabytes in 10 seconds on a sub-$10k server
“We demonstrated Strata in Santa Clara last year, 10 terabytes, ok, analyzing 10 seconds on a sub-ten-thousand dollar standard Dell server.”
Assertion Supported
The Reserve Bank of India changed interest rates over soaring onion prices
“The RBI actually went and changed interest rates because onion prices did this.”
Assertion Supported
eHarmony accounted for a quarter of online dating marriages from 2005-2012
“So about a quarter of all the marriages from online dating had met on eHarmony.”