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Ami Daniel

Co-Founder and CEO, Windward · 1 appearance on the record.

computed by AI from the episodes · how this works → · full disclaimer →

Ami Daniel is the co-founder and CEO of Windward. His company specializes in predictive maritime analytics and data-driven intelligence.

13statements → 10claims → 8claims resolved → 75%fully supported → 4/5average certainty → 2/5average debate potential →

6 supported 2 partly supported 0 contradicted 2 not checkable as stated how the 10 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

10 assertions · 2 insights · 1 disclosure · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 10 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 8 are resolved, and 2 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Ami argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Global AIS ship tracking relies entirely on an unverified honor system
“So we have one hundred million data points a day analog, which are based on an honor system that trusts every vessel to tell whatever it wants about itself.”
Ami Daniel Oct 16, 2014 ▶ 5:32 Ami Daniel, Windward // Data Driven #30 // Oct 2014 (Hosted by FirstMark Capital)

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1
none yet certainty 2
none yet certainty 3
93% certainty 4
50% certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

How they sound: speaking style how? →

249 words/min while actually speaking · 22.7 um and uh per 1k words

No argument clarity score for Ami Daniel: only 1 usable question→answer exchange on raw tape (a fair score needs 8+). We do not score a sample that small. Roundtable and news formats yield far fewer direct exchanges than interviews.

Measured by listening to the audio itself: 3,353 words across 1 episode of raw-level tape, transcribed verbatim with every um and uh kept, each one attributed only where the alignment onto our timed stream is unambiguous. These are measurements of speaking style. We do not rank them: across this corpus, fluency and argument quality are nearly uncorrelated (ρ≈0.2), and smooth talking does not signal clear thinking. How it's measured →

Everything Ami Daniel said on the MAD Podcast that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Insight
Satellite monitoring of shipping is driving increased maritime data manipulation
“Nobody was looking at nobody before, and now everybody is looking at everybody all the time. And therefore, manipulation is on the rise.”
Ami Daniel Oct 16, 2014 ▶ 7:26 Ami Daniel, Windward // Data Driven #30 // Oct 2014 (Hosted by FirstMark Capital)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Financial traders unknowingly rely on manipulated maritime tracking data
“So today, traders, quant funds, use data that is being increasingly manipulated, increasingly unreliable, and they have no idea this is happening.”
Ami Daniel Oct 16, 2014 ▶ 12:49 Ami Daniel, Windward // Data Driven #30 // Oct 2014 (Hosted by FirstMark Capital)
Assertion Supported
Global AIS ship tracking relies entirely on an unverified honor system
“So we have one hundred million data points a day analog, which are based on an honor system that trusts every vessel to tell whatever it wants about itself.”
Ami Daniel Oct 16, 2014 ▶ 5:32 Ami Daniel, Windward // Data Driven #30 // Oct 2014 (Hosted by FirstMark Capital)
Assertion Supported
One percent of global ships transmit false identities
“One percent of all the ships today transmit false identity.”
Ami Daniel Oct 16, 2014 ▶ 8:53 Ami Daniel, Windward // Data Driven #30 // Oct 2014 (Hosted by FirstMark Capital)
Assertion Supported
Maritime identity fraud increased 30% over two years
“And that showed up 30% in the last two years”
Ami Daniel Oct 16, 2014 ▶ 8:56 Ami Daniel, Windward // Data Driven #30 // Oct 2014 (Hosted by FirstMark Capital)
Assertion Supported
55% of global ships misreport their actual destinations throughout their journeys
“55% of ships misreport their actual port of call through all the journey.”
Ami Daniel Oct 16, 2014 ▶ 10:59 Ami Daniel, Windward // Data Driven #30 // Oct 2014 (Hosted by FirstMark Capital)
Insight
Maritime data manipulation undermines traditional intelligence watchlists
“On the world of intelligence, this undermines the whole concept of watch lists.”
Ami Daniel Oct 16, 2014 ▶ 13:13 Ami Daniel, Windward // Data Driven #30 // Oct 2014 (Hosted by FirstMark Capital)
Assertion Supported
A Liberian ship flag registration costs $5,000
“Has Liberian flag, which you can buy for 5000 bucks.”
Ami Daniel Oct 16, 2014 ▶ 1:53 Ami Daniel, Windward // Data Driven #30 // Oct 2014 (Hosted by FirstMark Capital)
Assertion Supported
A Maltese ship flag of convenience costs $10,000 annually
“This vessel is called the Kilnik Philippos, Malta flag, and also you can buy it for 10,000 bucks a year.”
Ami Daniel Oct 16, 2014 ▶ 3:10 Ami Daniel, Windward // Data Driven #30 // Oct 2014 (Hosted by FirstMark Capital)
Disclosure
As of 2014, all of Windward's customers were intelligence agencies
“Today all our customers are intelligence agencies.”
Ami Daniel Oct 16, 2014 ▶ 15:41 Ami Daniel, Windward // Data Driven #30 // Oct 2014 (Hosted by FirstMark Capital)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
A round-trip oil tanker voyage to Indonesia costs $2.5 million
“This vessel costs about, it costs about one, 2.5 million dollars lump sum for this voyage back and forth.”
Ami Daniel Oct 16, 2014 ▶ 3:38 Ami Daniel, Windward // Data Driven #30 // Oct 2014 (Hosted by FirstMark Capital)
Assertion Partly supported
Half of the $2.8 trillion global crude imports travel by sea
“Talking about numbers of two thousand eight hundred twenty three billion dollars of crude imports, 50% of that by sea.”
Ami Daniel Oct 16, 2014 ▶ 4:05 Ami Daniel, Windward // Data Driven #30 // Oct 2014 (Hosted by FirstMark Capital)
Assertion Partly supported
Maritime AIS tracking was invented in 1960 and mandated in 2002
“AIS was invented in 1960. Yes, 1960. It was mandated in 2002.”
Ami Daniel Oct 16, 2014 ▶ 4:58 Ami Daniel, Windward // Data Driven #30 // Oct 2014 (Hosted by FirstMark Capital)

Appearances (1)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
Ami Daniel, Windward // Data Driven #30 // Oct 2014 (Hosted by FirstMark Capital) Oct 16, 2014 15m
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