why aren't all 13 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Satellite monitoring of shipping is driving increased maritime data manipulation
“Nobody was looking at nobody before, and now everybody is looking at everybody all the time. And therefore, manipulation is on the rise.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Financial traders unknowingly rely on manipulated maritime tracking data
“So today, traders, quant funds, use data that is being increasingly manipulated, increasingly unreliable, and they have no idea this is happening.”
Assertion Supported
Global AIS ship tracking relies entirely on an unverified honor system
“So we have one hundred million data points a day analog, which are based on an honor system that trusts every vessel to tell whatever it wants about itself.”
Assertion Supported
One percent of global ships transmit false identities
“One percent of all the ships today transmit false identity.”
Assertion Supported
Maritime identity fraud increased 30% over two years
“And that showed up 30% in the last two years”
Assertion Supported
55% of global ships misreport their actual destinations throughout their journeys
“55% of ships misreport their actual port of call through all the journey.”
Insight
Maritime data manipulation undermines traditional intelligence watchlists
“On the world of intelligence, this undermines the whole concept of watch lists.”
Assertion Supported
A Liberian ship flag registration costs $5,000
“Has Liberian flag, which you can buy for 5000 bucks.”
Assertion Supported
A Maltese ship flag of convenience costs $10,000 annually
“This vessel is called the Kilnik Philippos, Malta flag, and also you can buy it for 10,000 bucks a year.”
Disclosure
As of 2014, all of Windward's customers were intelligence agencies
“Today all our customers are intelligence agencies.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
A round-trip oil tanker voyage to Indonesia costs $2.5 million
“This vessel costs about, it costs about one, 2.5 million dollars lump sum for this voyage back and forth.”
Assertion Partly supported
Half of the $2.8 trillion global crude imports travel by sea
“Talking about numbers of two thousand eight hundred twenty three billion dollars of crude imports, 50% of that by sea.”
Assertion Partly supported
Maritime AIS tracking was invented in 1960 and mandated in 2002
“AIS was invented in 1960. Yes, 1960. It was mandated in 2002.”