The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryk: Superintelligent models like GPT-5 will fail using Google Search
“You could have a world, and we are going to have this world, where you have, like, GPT-V level systems and beyond that could, like, answer any complex request. Unless it requires some, like, if you say, like you know, give me a list of all the PhDs in New York…”
Will Bryk Jan 10, 2025 ▶ 16:42 Beating Google at Search with Neural PageRank and $5M of H200s — with Will Bryk of Exa.ai
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryk: Content creators will establish data partnerships with search entities
“I do see the world as like the future where the data The data producers, the content creators will make partnerships with the entities that find that data.”
Will Bryk Jan 10, 2025 ▶ 27:44 Beating Google at Search with Neural PageRank and $5M of H200s — with Will Bryk of Exa.ai
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