why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Bryk: Perplexity and ChatGPT Search rely on legacy Google and Bing APIs
“So these systems, there are a few of them now they basically rely on like traditional search engines like Google or Bing, and then they combine them with like LLMs at the end to, you know, output some power graphics answering your question. So they, Like, Sear…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryk: Superintelligent models like GPT-5 will fail using Google Search
“You could have a world, and we are going to have this world, where you have, like, GPT-V level systems and beyond that could, like, answer any complex request. Unless it requires some, like, if you say, like you know, give me a list of all the PhDs in New York…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bryk: Google and Bing rely on limited keyword algorithms due to constraints
“Google and Bing work, and they're just not using new methods. There are all sorts of reasons for that. Like, one, like, Google has to be comprehensive over the web, so they're, and they have to return in 400 milliseconds. And those two things combined means th…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bryk: Google and Bing completely fail when given paragraph queries
“Traditional search engines like Google or Bing, they're actually designed for humans typing keywords. If you give a paragraph to Google or Bing, they just completely fail.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bryk: Content creators will establish data partnerships with search entities
“I do see the world as like the future where the data The data producers, the content creators will make partnerships with the entities that find that data.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bryk: SpaceX had a rule that interns could not touch Elon Musk
“I worked at SpaceX because I really just wanted to work at one of his companies, and I remember they had a rule, like, interns cannot touch Elon, and that rule actually influenced my actions.”