The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ball: Complex sub-agent workflows will result in user hangovers
“A lot of the features what we see, you know, where people build like elaborate workflows, like I have my custom slash commands and they trigger custom Custom sub-agents and they in turn trigger custom MCP tool calls behind which again another model is doing in…”
Thorsten Ball Sep 25, 2025 ▶ 35:22 Amp: The Emperor Has No Clothes
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ball: Foundation models will become background implementation details in AI tools
“So I think we're going towards a future where the model will become an implementation detail to some sense, and we will end up on a different abstraction layer.”
Thorsten Ball Sep 25, 2025 ▶ 26:02 Amp: The Emperor Has No Clothes
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ball: Web frameworks will integrate AI agents directly into the runtime
“What if the agent is integrated into the framework so that you can, if the application fails to run, you can ask the agent that has access to all of the context. And that's going to be more and more, I think like a lot of the, you know, developers will build s…”
Thorsten Ball Sep 25, 2025 ▶ 57:12 Amp: The Emperor Has No Clothes
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