The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Conover: Economic incentives to pre-train commodity foundation models from scratch are diminishing
“The incentives, the economic incentives for companies to train their own foundation models, I think, are diminishing. So the, like, window in which you are the dominant pre-train, and let's say that you spend five to forty million dollars, you know, for like a…”
Mike Conover Jun 11, 2024 ▶ 58:37 How AI is Eating Finance - with Mike Conover of Brightwave
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Conover: The next generation of AI innovation requires specialized tuning data
“And I think the cost of producing instruction tuning and fine tuning data that creates specific kinds of behaviors, I think that's probably where the next generation of really interesting work starts to happen.”
Mike Conover Jun 11, 2024 ▶ 1:00:33 How AI is Eating Finance - with Mike Conover of Brightwave
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