The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Contradicted
Andreessen: Three-year-old Nvidia chips make more money today than when new
“The current models are getting better faster at such a rate that if you are running an NVIDIA, if you're running an NVIDIA inference chip today that's three years old, you're making more money on it today than you did three years ago. Because the pace of impro…”
Marc Andreessen Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 23:23 Marc Andreessen introspects on Death of the Browser, Pi + OpenClaw, and Why "This Time Is Different"
Prediction Held up
Andreessen: Autonomous AI agents will inevitably hire humans for tasks
“The agent hiring the people, which of course is going to happen, right? It's obviously going to happen.”
Marc Andreessen Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 41:32 Marc Andreessen introspects on Death of the Browser, Pi + OpenClaw, and Why "This Time Is Different"
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Andreessen: AI will never transform existing US K-12 public classrooms
“How are we going to apply AI in education? The answer is we're not because it's a literal government monopoly. It is never going to change the end, and there is nothing to do. By the way, you can create an entirely new school system. Like that's the one thing …”
Marc Andreessen Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 1:15:04 Marc Andreessen introspects on Death of the Browser, Pi + OpenClaw, and Why "This Time Is Different"
Assertion Supported
Andreessen: Google had internal chatbots between 2017 and 2021 but withheld them
“Between 20 17 and 20, 21, I mean, that was the era of which like companies like Google had internal chatbots, but they weren't letting anybody use them.”
Marc Andreessen Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 4:57 Marc Andreessen introspects on Death of the Browser, Pi + OpenClaw, and Why "This Time Is Different"
Assertion Contradicted
Andreessen: AI Dungeon was the only public way to access GPT-3 for a year
“There was like a year where like the only way for a normal person to use GPT-III was in an AI dungeon.”
Marc Andreessen Apr 3, 2026 ▶ 5:15 Marc Andreessen introspects on Death of the Browser, Pi + OpenClaw, and Why "This Time Is Different"
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