why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Weil: 2026 for AI in science will mirror 2025 software engineering
“I think, 2026 for ai and science is going to look a lot like what 2025 looked like for soft ai and software engineering yeah where if you go back to the beginning of 2025 if you were using ai heavily to write your code you were sort of an early adopter and lik…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Weil: OpenAI customer support team is 20% expected size thanks to AI
“There are things that get closer to that, I mean, there, like, customer service, we have bots internally that do what's fun about answering external questions and fielding internal people's questions on Slack and so on, and our customer success, our customer s…”
Disclosure
Weil: OpenAI wants 100 external scientists to win Nobels with its AI
“Our goal is not To win a Nobel Prize ourselves, it is for a hundred scientists to win Nobel Prizes using our technology.”
Disclosure
OpenAI launches Prism, a free AI-native LaTeX editor
“So we're launching Prism, which is a free AI native LaTeX editor.”
Insight
Weil: True AI acceleration requires native workflow integration, not copy-pasting
“If there was a lesson from what happened over the last year with software engineering, it's that Part of the acceleration from, ah, in software engineering came from better models, but part of it also came from the fact that you now have, ah, AI embedded into …”
Assertion Supported
Weil: OpenAI's Prism allows unlimited collaborators for free
“I think most other tools in the space have hard limits and charge you money and other things. In Prism, it's as many collaborators as you want for free.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Weil: Editor UIs will converge as AI interaction replaces direct document editing
“The UI probably changes for all of these things, right? You don't need your document front and center because you're actually not looking at your document as much. You're, that's sort of your backup and your interaction with your AI is primary. And as that hap…”
Disclosure
Weil: OpenAI will mostly partner in science rather than build verticals
“By and large, we're going to partner because the surface area of science is massive. And we want to accelerate all of science.”
Disclosure
Weil: OpenAI o1 will support function calling by end of 2024
“I'm really excited to see things like system prompts,
And structured outputs, and function calling, make it into a one, we will be there by the end of the year.”
Assertion Supported
Weil: ChatGPT supports over 200 million weekly active users
“As we, you know, we support over two hundred million people every week on ChatGPT.”