why aren't all 19 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Ben-Smith: Consumer AI apps must move beyond chat boxes
“If you're building a consumer app, you have to move beyond the chat box. People do not want to always type out what they want.”
Opinion
Ben-Smith: Podcast apps today are basically repurposed music players
“Like podcast apps today, they're still, they're basically repurposed music players, but we actually look at podcasts as one of the largest sources of knowledge in the world.”
Opinion
Snipd CEO: Claude is the best model at phrasing and personality
“Like, in my opinion, Claude is the best one when it comes to the way it formulates things.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2030
Ben-Smith: End-to-end multimodal LLMs will replace modular audio transcription pipelines
“In the future that would just be put everything into a big multimodal LLM. And it will output everything that you want.”
Prediction Held up
Ben-Smith: AI will enable natural language steering of recommendation algorithms
“I think what actually AI will enable is not that you bring your own algorithm, but you will be able to talk. You will be able to communicate with the algorithm.”
Opinion
Ben-Smith: Duolingo is the only successful app lacking a natural trigger
“There's basically only one app, one super successful app that has been able to do that without this natural trigger, and that is Duolingo.”
Assertion Supported
Ben-Smith: Substack-hosted podcasts cannot play on Apple Watch
“So we found out that all of the podcasts hosted on Substack you cannot play them on an Apple Watch.”
Insight
Ben-Smith: Scaling AI products requires matching sub-tasks to the cheapest viable intelligence
“Like for us, it's not just about taking the best model for every task, but it's really getting the best, like identifying what kind of intelligence level you need, and then getting the best price for that to be able to really scale this and provide us yeah, le…”
Disclosure
Ben-Smith: Snipd uses LLMs to recalibrate speaker diarization switching points
“Another thing is that we actually combine it with LLMs. So the transcripts, LLMs and the speaker diarization, like bringing all of these together to recalibrate some of the switching points.”
Disclosure
Ben-Smith: Snipd relies on regexes to format streaming LLM responses
“For this specific feature, like, we actually also have, like, countless regexes. That, that, they're just there to correct certain things that the LLM is doing, because it doesn't always adhere to the format correctly, and then it looks super ugly on the front…”
Assertion Supported
Ben-Smith: Multimodal LLM audio transcription remains vastly costlier than self-hosted pipelines
“The big difference right now is still, like, the cost difference of doing speaker diarization this way, or doing transcription this way, is a huge difference to the pipeline that we've built up.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ben-Smith: Snipd indexes 99% of all podcasts in-house
“Yeah, we have a search engine that is powered by ListenNotes, but I mean, in the meantime, we have a huge database of, like, 99% of all podcasts out there ourselves.”
Disclosure
Ben-Smith: Snipd Uses Perplexity API to Fetch Book Metadata
“Then we use perplexity API together with various other LLM orchestration to go out there on the internet, find everything that there is to know about the book.”
Assertion Supported
Ben-Smith: Podcast Ads Create Unique Dynamic Audio Files per Listener
“Like the way that ads get inserted into podcasts or into most podcasts is actually that every time you listen to a podcast, you actually get access to a different audio file. And on the server, a different ad is inserted into the MP three file automatically.”
Disclosure
Ben-Smith: Snipd Built Audio Fuzzy Matching to Re-Sync Dynamic Podcast Ads
“So it's actually not we're actually not doing exact matches, but we're doing fuzzy matches. To identify the moment. It's basically we basically built Shazam for podcasts. Just as a little side project to solve this issue.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Snipd has processed more than 1 million podcasts
“So we have more than a million podcasts that we've already processed.”
Disclosure
Ben-Smith: Snipd operates with a four-person, all-technical team
“We're just four people. We're just four people. Yeah. Like four, we all technical. Basically two on the backend side. So one of my co-founders is this person who got me into machine learning and startups, and we won the hackathon together. So we have two peopl…”
Disclosure
Snipd builds on Python, GCP, and Flutter for cross-platform clients
“So the general tech stack is our entire back end is, or 90% of our back end is written in Python. Hosting everything on Google Cloud platform, and our front end is written with, well, we're using the Flutter framework.”
Assertion Supported
Ben-Smith: Perplexity web search API costs roughly $5 per 1,000 queries
“If you use the web search, the price is like five dollars per a thousand queries.”