The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 15 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Crivello: Lindy AI agents perform better than humans for most use cases
“I think the bar is it needs to be better than a human. And for most use cases we serve today, it is better than the human, especially if you put it on rails.”
Crivello: Every major remote success story lost to an in-person competitor
“In every one of these examples, you have a co-located counterfactual that is sometimes orders of magnitude bigger.”
Crivello: A Few Very Big Horizontal AI Agent Platforms Will Dominate
“I think AI is going to completely penetrate every category of software, but then I also think there are going to be a few very, very, very big horizontal agents that serve a lot of functions for people.”
Crivello: AI Agent Software Will Create Trillions Replacing Human Labor
“It's going to sound like an exaggeration, but it is a fact that it's going to create trillions of dollars of value in a few years, right? It's going to, for the first time, we're actually having software directly replace human labor.”
Crivello: Infinite and cheap context windows will arrive within 18 months
“Now we just assume that infinite context windows are going to be here in a year or something, a year and a half and infinitely cheap as well. And dynamic compute is going to be here. Like we just assume all of these things are going to happen.”
Crivello: Marc Andreessen Blocked Him on Twitter Over AI Safety Views
“Like at some point, Marc Andreessen blocked me on Twitter and I, it hurt, frankly, I really look up to Marc Andreessen and I knew he would block me.”
Crivello: 60% to 70% of user agent prompts are meaningless
“Some, I would say, 60 or 70% of the prompts that people type don't mean anything. Me, as a human, as AGI, I don't understand what they mean. I don't know what they mean.”
Crivello: Tech industry will not fix OAuth for AI agents before AGI
“I'm not optimistic On us actually patching OAuth, because I agree with you ultimately, like we would want to patch OAuth, because the new account thing is kind of a cludge. It's really a hack. You would want to patch OAuth to have more granular access control …”
Crivello: AI has 10% p(doom) and 90% chance of disease-free utopia
“My PDOOM, insofar as I can quantify it, which I cannot, But if I had to, like, my vibe is like, 10% or something like that? And so there's also like a 90% chance that we live in like a pure utopia, right? And that's awesome, right? So like, let's go after the …”
Crivello: Users Add Delays to Fake Google Accounts to Disguise AI
“One pattern we've started to see is people provisioning accounts for their AI agents. And so in particular, Google Workspace accounts. So for example, Lindy can be used as a scheduling assistant. And so you can just CC her To your emails when you're trying to …”
Crivello: Future businesses will operate like Factorio with thousands of AI agents
“We actually very often talk about how the business of the future is like a game of factorial. It's like you just wake up in the morning and you've got your Lindy instance. It's like Slack and you've got like 5000 Lindys in the sidebar and your job is to someho…”
Crivello: Lindy lets users configure different AI models per workflow node
“And you can see here for every node, you can configure which model you want to power the node.”
Crivello: Top Lindy Use Cases Are Sales, Support, and Personal Assistance
“There's a lot of like sales automations, customer support automations, and a lot of this, which is basically personal assistance automations, like meeting scheduling and so forth.”