why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Field: Prompting will be remembered as the MS-DOS era of AI
“I think we'll look back on this era as like the MS-DOS era of AI, and the prompting and natural language that everyone's doing today, I think is just sort of like the start of how we're going to create interfaces to explore it in space.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Field: AI code generation will force developers to rely on visual abstractions
“I also think that it's going to be something that as we move forward in time with more Asians writing more parts of your code base, you will also be less familiar with the code. And so then you might want a different abstraction where you're able to work on th…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Field: Autonomous AI agents building complex software like Figma is a long way off
“I'm not saying, okay, go build Figma, and you, agent, are just gonna go figure out all the complexities of Figma. I think that's just not something I see happening in any near term future, even as longer range running agents start to occur and we've got better…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Field: Broadening design participation expands rather than diminishes designers' roles
“In a world where design is the way you win, it's only natural that we need to get more people involved in the design process. That is not going to diminish, diminish the role of designers. In fact, I think it expands the role of designers because then you have…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Field: Proliferation of software will trigger an explosion in interface styles
“Designers need to push us forward. And that's going to mean a exploration and explosion of creativity in so many different Visual styles that will be explored so much more dynamism in interfaces and new patterns emerging, especially as you start thinking about…”