The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Hershey predicts the Claude stream won't reach Victory Road within 16 days
“I think we have a little ways before we can beat the game in 16 days. I do not have a lot of faith that the current stream is gonna, gonna be standing in Victory Road in 13 days.”
Anthropic's Pokémon research graph reflects a single run passing Lt. Surge
“The run that you saw that's, like, on the graph we put out alongside, like, in our research blog is, like, a single run that I have watched, like, get through At least surges Jim. And then it got a little past that. And the reason that that's where we stopped …”