why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fu: Embedding model quality barely matters for final RAG performance
“We had this experience over and over again where you could have any, an embedding model of any quality, so you could have a really, really bad embedding model, or you could have a really, really good one by, and by any measure of good, and for the final RAG ap…”
Insight
Fu: Modern GPU compute primitives should be matrices, not floats
“We basically built a whole library just around this basic idea that all your basic compute primitives should not be a float, but it should be a matrix and everything should just be matrix compute.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2029
Fu: Real-time long-context video generation cannot use quadratic attention
“You're certainly not going to do a giant quadratic attention computation to try to run that.”
Insight
Fu: Efficient AI Architectures Are Dead on Arrival Without Hardware Co-Design
“Even if your model is theoretically more efficient, if somebody goes and runs it and it's two times slower one of the things that, that we've learned is that if you're in that situation, it's just going to be dead on arrival. So you want to be designing your a…”
Opinion
Dan Fu: Nobody is actually submitting 2M token prompts into LLMs
“Nobody is actually putting in a two million context prompt into these models.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fu: AI21's Jamba Is the State of the Art Non-Transformer Model
“AI-II trained this hybrid MOE called Jamba that, that, that seems, that is currently the state of the art for these non-transformer architectures.”
Insight
Fu: Changing one PyTorch line requires a week of CUDA development
“If we decided to change one thing in PyTorch, like one line of PyTorch code is like a week of CUDA code at least.”
Assertion Supported
Fu: Stanford and Arc Institute's DNA SSM Made the Cover of Science
“One of those gated, SSM gated states-based models ended up on the cover of science because a great group of folks went and trained some DNA models. So that's Michael Polley, Eric Yuen from Stanford and the Arc Institute.”