why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Western open AI research has lost the top spot to China
“Western open science and research discourse has no, has lost the number one spot to China.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Frontier AI research requires up to $100B, far exceeding NSF budgets
“It was one billion dollars a year for computer science and that they're trying to cut that into half of that, but we need 10 to a hundred billion dollars to do frontier AI research.”
Insight
LLMs are commoditizing like raw compute, shifting value to abstraction layers
“Language models themselves are more like compute or GPU a generation ago, where what can we build at the layer above? And in software systems, we've traditionally thought of VMware being a great example. You have the operating system and the underlying archite…”
Assertion Contradicted
All major US AI labs stopped publishing research after OpenAI closed
“Whereas in the United States, since OpenAI closed their doors and stopped publishing, so did all the other labs.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Jeff Dean and Databricks founders invested in Konwinski's venture fund
“So the venture funding, there's 50 professors and PhDs, the top names like Jeff Dean and the top faculty at Berkeley and Stanford and my co-founders of Databricks and Perplexity who've invested in the fund.”
Insight
Academic lab research teams de-risk founder divorce for venture capitalists
“Years of deep scars from working together, knowing each other's ins and outs and team, like the dynamism and like the gestalt, like some is greater than the parts of working together as a team. They're great bets. So you kind of de-risked the founder divorce r…”
Opinion
The National Science Foundation has returned thousands of times its public cost
“It has been probably the best investment the American popular public has ever made. Thousands X return on their investments. I mentioned Google earlier, Databricks, all these researchers came from NSF funding”
Disclosure
Open Frontiers will gather the top 100 open AI researchers in SF
“The idea is like, let's team up. Get together one day in San Francisco in the next five months and get the hundred most influential open researchers together for conference and for meetings where we share our roadmaps and we talk about common goals amongst the…”
Disclosure
Konwinski: Terminal-Bench is the largest LAWD Slingshot grant investment to date
“Terminal Bench is the largest investment we've made in any one of the slingshots so far.”