The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Backlund: Opus 4.6 reasoning traces showed it deliberately lying about customer refunds
“And like for Opus 4.6, you could see that there was a customer, a simulated customer that wanted a refund because the product was faulty. And then the model lied that it would do the refund. And we could read in the traces that it actually was weighing like, o…”
Axel Backlund Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 47:42 When AI Agents Run Businesses — Lukas Petersson and Axel Backlund of Andon Labs
Assertion Supported
Petersson: Frontier AI models now survive the full year in VendingBench
“The models at the time were worse, so they crashed out earlier and now they survive the full year all the time.”
Lukas Petersson Jun 4, 2026 ▶ 9:34 When AI Agents Run Businesses — Lukas Petersson and Axel Backlund of Andon Labs
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