why aren't all 77 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Dec 2025
Altman, Nadella, and Pichai publicly committed to adopting MCP around April
“And then like, you had this like inflection point around April with like Sam Altman and Satya and Sundar and all posting about like MCP and that they're going to adopt MCP at Microsoft, at Google. At OpenAI and that was really like the big inflection point.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Regulated MCP clients may require formal certification and signatures within a year
“You might end up in a world really a year from now. There might be clients that have like certifications that they are in Amplik and get like a signature that they are like financial services, MCP clients, and they can prove it for the server. And only then th…”
Insight
SDKs are likely better than MCP sampling for remote server cases
“In remote cases, it's probably always better for you to bring an SDK, because you have full control, you can deploy it, you can deploy an API case, and maybe even charge someone.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Enterprises will adopt private MCP registries similar to npm and PyPI
“They're effectively using private registries already for NPM. They're using for PyPy and they will also do it for MCP servers. In there you have implicit trust and then you can just search.”
Opinion
MCP is the primary method enterprise customers use to add agent context
“The MCP is huge, it seems like. It is the way that a lot of the, especially when it comes to, like, digital transformation or some of our enterprise customers, it's where they're going to be able to be at, or where they are able to add context.”
Disclosure
GitHub announces custom agent support with prompts and MCPs in Agent HQ
“In addition to that, we also have custom agents that we announced today, too. So, like, you can work with prompts and stuff within your agent HQ and customize these agents for different tasks, and those can have MCPs and such.”
Insight
Krieger: AI Agents Must Support Both MCP and Visual Computer Use
“And that thing's never gonna have an MCP around it. Like, it's just like, who knows if the company created is even around much less like ready to sort of expose their kind of underlying constructs as API. So I think you will need to be able to do both.”
Assertion Supported
Ganatra: MCP Lacks Client Post-Processing for Long Context Responses
“MCP let's just say you have a tool that has really long context, a really long sort of response. Currently, if you use MCP for those kinds of tools, it ends up sort of messing up, right? Because let's say I'm trying to fetch like a hundred emails on Gmail and …”
Assertion Supported
Ganatra: Server-Controlled Schemas in MCP Complicate Client-Side Customization
“Some of the other things that we have observed is like, hey, maybe I want to sort of change the tool descriptions, but like in MCP, the tool descriptions are controlled by the server itself. And so essentially for me as a developer who's sort of using an MCP, …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rizwan: MCP ecosystem will always rely on mixed local and remote servers
“We won't see a world where these MCP servers are only hosted remotely. There will always be some mix of local MCP servers and remote MCP servers.”
Insight
Rizwan: MCP turns Cline into a general-purpose 'everything agent'
“Even though it's a VS Code extension and a coding agent, MCP kind of lets it function as this everything agent where it can connect to, you know, whatever services and things like that. And that's really a side effect of having very general prompts just in the…”
Opinion
Swix: Every DevTools company needs an MCP strategy
“I do think that every DevTools company needs some kind of MCP strategy for better or worse.”
Opinion
Kozlov: Bullish on Model Context Protocol (MCP) as key to useful agents
“I'm very bullish on MCP. I'm really, really excited about it, but I think funnily enough, the term MCP is the thing that scares the normies away because it sounds so deeply technical, even though really it's the part that I think is going to Make agents intere…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Klein: Consumer AI agents and tools like Anthropic MCP will run locally
“There's a case where a lot of people are going desktop first for, you know, consumer use. And I think Claude is doing a lot of this where I expect to see, you know, MCP is really oriented around the Claude desktop app for a reason, right? Like I think a lot of…”
Assertion Supported
Eifrem: Initial Model Context Protocol release includes in-memory graph database
“Actually the initial MCP release includes like a tiny little in memory graph database.”
Disclosure
Notion Commits to Supporting MCP Integrations as Long as Users Demand Them
“So we will always support our MCP insofar as other people are using MCPs, right?”
Assertion Supported
Cursor launches Model Context Protocol support for Cloud Agents
“We also launched MCPs along with along with this Cloud Agent launch, launch support for Cloud Agent MCPs.”
Disclosure
Block abandoned Goose's proprietary plugin ecosystem in favor of adopting MCP
“We had a version of Goose that was still, you can go check the GitHub history. It was there a little bit before MCP came out, and we were sitting there with like a plugin ecosystem who were like, this is awful. Like what, like, why would you, why would anyone?…”
Assertion Supported
Anthropic added long-running tasks to MCP for deep research and communication
“We just launched like in our end of like November, then the recent iteration of the protocol, finally, like the next bigger improvement to the protocol, which is like long running tasks to really allow for like, you know, deep research type of task and like, y…”
Disclosure
Anthropic always planned to put MCP into a neutral open-source foundation
“The first one is that on the MCP side, we always knew that we wanted to find a neutral home for MCP to make sure that the that the industry understands that this is stays open, that this is something safe to adopt.”
Assertion Supported
MCP decoupled authentication from resource servers to support enterprise identity providers
“In the first iteration of our authentication respect, we combined them together into the MCP server... And if you combine these into the same server, you just can't do this anymore. And so all we needed to do is like, okay, we are a resource server. The MCP se…”
Assertion Supported
Bloomberg is heading a financial services interest group for MCP standardization
“And so now that's when we, like, started, like, creating this financial services interest group that Bloomberg is heading up to, like, figure out, like, what are some of the things that you, like, a client must do if it wants to speak to our financial services…”
Disclosure
Next MCP update will replace polling with server event callbacks and webhooks
“And then you can make an optimization, which we're going to do in the next round, which we didn't get around is like, okay, instead of having to pull every minute or hour or whatever you interval you choose, the server can call us events. Call you like, feel l…”
Disclosure
Sands: Stripe built central MCP server 'Tool Shed' for internal AI tooling
“So we've actually been leaning in really hard on, we call it tool shed, but it's like a, it's like an internal like MCP server that basically has access to like all the Stripe tools. And, you know, what I like about that is like, and it's managed centrally, li…”
Assertion Supported
OpenAI's Nick Cooper sits on Anthropic's MCP steering committee
“We actually have a member of our team, Nick Cooper, who is sitting on kind of like that, that steering committee for MCP as well.”
Assertion Supported
Cherny: Claude Code operates as both an MCP client and an MCP server
“Because Cloud Code is an MCP client and an MCP server.”
Disclosure
Scandurra: Zed supports installing MCP servers via binaries or its extension store
“Like one is you can sort of change your configuration setting point, you know, point to an MCP binary
and you know, Zed just runs that binary. That's one path. The other path that I'm also really excited about is, like, going through our extension store.”
Assertion Supported
Augment Code supports MCP alongside native GitHub, Linear, and Notion integrations
“Within augment, we have we have both MCP support for complete extensibility of tools, but we, we've also built in a few first party integrations and serve them as tools to the agent. So we have GitHub linear notion that, that we use internally, and then we hav…”
Disclosure
Anthropic plans to host an MCP developer summit in New York
“We're going to do it in New York in April, I think, or March or something like that. And then we're going to do it again six months later.”