The Ledger
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why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Hu: OpenAI o1-preview surpasses human Kaggle Grandmasters with seven gold medals
“Since a grandmaster requires five gold medals and oh, and preview gets an average of eight or sorry, seven gold medals. They're out competing even capital grandmasters.”
Hu: MLE-bench authors found obfuscating competition details did not show overfitting
“They do a lot of checks against overfitting on the Kaggle tasks themselves, and so they do something where they obfuscate some of the details of the Of the competitions, and then they rerun it. And I guess if they were overfitting on the competitions themselve…”