The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Bissell: CCP bias is identifiable in Qwen and DeepSeek-R1 representation spaces
“Well, there's, there are certainly internal, yeah, parts of the representation space where you can sort of see where that lives.”
DeepSeek-R1 researchers found MCTS and Process Reward Models were not useful
“R-one specifically said, yes, we tried MCTS. Yes, we tried PRMs. And none of that is useful.”
Packer: Sleep-time compute offers Pareto improvements across Claude 3.7 and DeepSeek
“It's like pretty consistent across like both 3.7 deep seek, three mini, which all like the way you actually scale the x-axis here is fundamentally quite different in each case with 3.7 extended thinking mode. The parameter you provide to scale it is different …”
Lambert: SimpleQA benchmark scores drop across reasoning models tested without tools
“You look at all the evals from reasoning models, and one of the trends is that, like simple QA numbers all drop. It's like DeepSeq R-one to the new R-one, it goes down. It's like all the new, like, QN-II to QN-III, simple QA goes down, at least when you're eva…”