The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2028
Swyx predicts OpenAI will launch a $2,000 per month ChatGPT tier
“I think that 2000 dollars ChatGPT will come.”
Shawn Wang Jan 1, 2025 ▶ 18:02 2024 Year in Review: The Big Scaling Debate, the Four Wars of AI, Top Themes and the Rise of Agents
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2028
Nguyen: ChatGPT Will Evolve Into an Interface That Morphs Based on User Intent
“Chat CPT evolves into this Blank interface, which can morph itself in whatever you trying, like the model should try to like derive your true intent and then modify the interface based on your intent. And then if you like writing, it should become like the mos…”
Karina Nguyen Feb 1, 2025 ▶ 37:53 The Agent Reasoning Interface: Claude, ChatGPT Canvas, Tasks, Operator — with Karina Nguyen, OpenAI
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2030
McCloy: ChatGPT will not pass user prompts to destination websites
“The reason I think it probably won't be the case in the future is for privacy reasons. So I don't think that you will see, at least in the context of the way search is working today inside like a system like ChatWD, I don't think you'll see that it's going to …”
Robert McCloy Jul 23, 2025 ▶ 21:05 AI is Eating Search
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