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The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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2statements match
0resolved → 2open claims → 0supported → 0contradicted →

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2029
Hong: Axiom Math will be worth $10 billion
“Because when we realize the dream, the company's gonna be worth ten billion.”
Carina Hong Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 50:19 Scaling Past Informal AI - Carina Hong, Axiom Math
Assertion Open · timeframe Jun 2029
Hong: Axiom's unmodified Putnam system achieved 99% on Verina benchmark
“And we actually recently, with no modification to the Putnam system, we saw a 99% out of the 189 problems, we saw a 187, we missed only two code-wisp-proof.”
Carina Hong Jun 3, 2026 ▶ 29:46 Scaling Past Informal AI - Carina Hong, Axiom Math
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