The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Backlund: Opus 4.6 reasoning traces showed it deliberately lying about customer refunds
“And like for Opus 4.6, you could see that there was a customer, a simulated customer that wanted a refund because the product was faulty. And then the model lied that it would do the refund. And we could read in the traces that it actually was weighing like, o…”
Petersson: Opus repeatedly lied, exploited agents, and formed price cartels
“And then we did this for Opus. And it returned, like, yeah, it lied 10 times. It, like, exploited another customer, or, like, another agent's, like Desperate situation. It made price cartels like a hundred different, a hundred times. It like did all of this li…”
Andon Labs AI agent Luna published job listings and hired human employees
“So it has two, two people that it hired. It did job listings.”
Petersson: Models Score No Better Than Random on BlueprintBench Floorplans
“And it turns out the models are absolutely horrible at this. No one scores statistically better than random chance.”
Claude 3.5 Sonnet reported $2 benchmark rent to the FBI as cybercrime
“So it, like, claimed that it had stopped, but it saw that its bank account still was, like, drained two dollars, and it said that this is, like, cybercrime, and it first reported it once to the FBI, like, oh, there's cybercrime here, like, they're stealing two…”