why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Yegge: Engineers still using an IDE by January 1st are bad engineers
“If you're still using an IDE to develop code by January first. You're a bad engineer.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Yegge: Top engineers avoiding AI will operate like interns within a year
“Look, I have friends Who are much better engineers than I am, ok, I mean, world class, maybe some of the best in the whole world, ok, have built technologies that you've heard of, and they're not using AI yet, except the occasional, I'll ask Cursor a chat ques…”
Opinion
Crivello: WordPress is a commercial failure despite powering 60% of the web
“WordPress is a commercial failure. They run 60% of the internet, and they're, like, a fraction of the size of even Substack, right?”
Opinion
Crivello: Tech workers outside SF lack judgment or ambition
“I think at this point, if you are in tech, especially in AI, but if you're in tech and you're not in San Francisco, you either lack judgment or you lack ambition. It's one of the two.”
Opinion
Wikimedia has become an apparatus producing political statements
“Wikipedia became such an important brand, and people are willing to pay for it, that it created enormous, ah, apparatus of functionaries that were, ah, then mostly producing
political statements, and had a political mission.”
Opinion
Hotz: Meta attracts researchers who want to publish while OpenAI keeps ideologues
“OpenAI can keep ideologues who, you know, believe ideological stuff, and Facebook can keep every researcher who's like, dude, I just want to build AI and publish it.”