FlashAttention creator Tri Dao discusses the future of machine learning compilation tools (like PyTorch compiler) versus hand-written CUDA kernels.
Prediction Not checkable as stated
RNNs will outperform Transformers in batch generation and long sequences
“I am personally bullish on, on, on RNNs. I think RNNs they don't, they essentially summarize the past into a state vector. They have fixed size, so the size doesn't grow with the history. So that means that you don't need as much memory to keep around all the …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
LLaMA 2 will shift developers from closed APIs to self-hosting
“And I do see that's going to shift the balance of it. More and more folks are going to be using let's say derivatives of Lama two. More folks are going to Fine-tune and serve their own model instead of calling an API.”
Insight
FLOP counts do not necessarily correlate with wall-clock runtime
“Flops or floating point operations don't necessarily correlate with runtime. There are other factors like memory reading and writing, parallelism, and so on.”
Opinion
The 14-billion-parameter RWKV model is competitive with Transformers
“I think the RWKV scale up to They have a model at fourteen billion that seems pretty competitive with transformers.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Future capable AI models will require explicit reasoning modules
“And in the future, I think we can, we will need to design architecture that kind of explicitly have some kind of Reasoning module in it if we want to have much more capable models.”
Assertion Supported
FlashAttention achieves 2x to 4x wall-clock speedup with linear memory
“So in the end, we ended up being, the memory is linear in sequence length. In terms of computation, it's still quadratic, but we managed to make it much more hardware friendly, and as a result, we do get wall clock speed up on the order of two to four X which …”