why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Weinberg predicts marginally faster attorneys will capture winner-take-all market dynamics
“And I think that that's what's gonna end up happening in knowledge work, where, you know, if an attorney is, is slightly better or slightly faster, they're gonna get all the work.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Weinberg: Law firms will be forced to abandon lockstep promotions
“And I think law firms are gonna, they're gonna have to change this. Like they're going to have to say, hey, this associate is better. Like this associate is better at X, Y, Z, and we're gonna promote them faster. Than the other ones, because that time to partn…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Weinberg: GPT-3 Answered 86% of Legal Questions with Zero Edits
“On 86 out of a hundred of those questions, three out of three attorneys said yes, and that was the Oh my God moment for me and for my co-founder, or so we need to do something in this industry.”
Assertion Supported
Weinberg: Autonomous AI law firms are illegal in 48 US states
“Basically, there, there's two rules. One is state by state, which is the unauthorized practice of law. It's actually a felony. And so, you know, you actually need to be barred in order to give legal advice. And then the other one is an ethical rule. So it's by…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Weinberg: Harvey has never fired anyone for making too many mistakes
“No one at the company ever has been let go because they made too many mistakes. It's never happened. I've, I have personally never done it. I've never, ever fired someone or anything like that because they made too many mistakes.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Harvey Ran Live Personalized Demos for Lawyers During Sequoia Series A Pitch
“The riskiest version of this is we did it during our series A pitch to Sequoia, where Sequoia grabbed a bunch of lawyers that they knew, and they had us demo to them. And I just, I remember Pat Grady emailed me afterwards and was like, is that what you normall…”