The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
The European energy crisis sparked by Russia may solve climate change
“Europe's dependence on Russia for natural gas pipelines plus the act of aggression by Russia may actually cause climate change to be solved, which is, like, an unbelievable story when you're looking at this.”
Tobi Lütke Nov 15, 2022 ▶ 1:34:57 Tobi Lütke: Calm Progress
Prediction Not checkable as stated
The next generation of humans will definitively achieve biological immortality
“Hey, the future's fantastic, and we'll probably become immortal relatively soon, and all these kind of things and maybe not us, but our children definitely will.”
Tobi Lütke Nov 15, 2022 ▶ 2:37:00 Tobi Lütke: Calm Progress
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lütke: Charging for Shopify's best features would diminish the company over 10 years
“I think Shopify All In, like, over the next 10 years, we would be a very diminished company for not giving our best feature, like, to everyone to make it, like, a fundamental, like You know, like, flag in the ground about, hey, you come to Shopify because we w…”
Tobi Lütke Nov 15, 2022 ▶ 1:46:56 Tobi Lütke: Calm Progress
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lütke: Tech History Books Will Be Seen as Mainline Human History
“I think in a 102 hundred years from now, when we talk about human history like, these books that, like, Hackers by Stephen Levy, and The Dream Machine, and like, Code by Petzold, and, you know, all these kind of, these books are actually going to be referenced…”
Tobi Lütke Nov 15, 2022 ▶ 1:00:03 Tobi Lütke: Calm Progress
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lütke: Human-assisting technology will have significantly more impact than human replacement
“And so I think humans assisted by technology are probably the thing that we should be going for instead of trying to replace people so much. And I think we will see that effect significantly more.”
Tobi Lütke Sep 18, 2018 ▶ 1:41:40 #41 Tobi Lütke: The Trust Battery
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