why aren't all 15 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Haidt: A child would wait 700,000 years in a car before abduction
“There are about a hundred people, a hundred kids abducted a year in the United States by strangers. At present rates of abduction, you'd have to leave your kid alone in a car in a parking lot for 700,000 years before they would probably be abducted.”
Assertion Supported
Haidt: Youth born after 1995 face surging anxiety, depression, and self-harm
“Kids born after 1995 have really high rates of anxiety, depression, self-harm, and suicide.”
Assertion Supported
Haidt: Adolescent mood disorders surged beginning in 2011, especially among girls
“What they show is a big rise in depression and anxiety only. There's no change in bipolar disorder, schizophrenia no other category. It's just mood disorder, so depression and anxiety. It begins going up around 20 11. It goes up steadily and sharply. It goes, …”
Assertion Supported
Haidt: Modern working women spend more hours on childcare than 1950s mothers
“There's an amazing statistic we found, that if you look at the total number of hours that women spent doing childcare in the 19 fifties, when very few of them worked outside the home, and you compare that to the total number of hours of childcare that they do …”
Assertion Supported
Haidt: Randomized trials prove quitting social media directly improves mental health
“There are now a number of experiments in which they randomly assign people to get off social media for a few weeks and lo and behold, you see very direct improvements in mental health.”
Assertion Supported
Haidt: Female teen suicide is at record highs across the Anglosphere
“They're having exactly the same gigantic increase in girls' depression, anxiety, and self-harm and suicide in the US and UK and Canada. We're all at record high levels for teenage, for female teenage suicide. So this is throughout the Anglosphere.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Haidt: Millennials escaped social media harm due to later brain development
“When the millennials got social media in college or later, they weren't damaged by it. There's no sign that millennials had a crisis of mental health, because their social nature was largely, their brains were mostly developed.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Haidt: Call-out culture and self-censorship will severely stunt Gen Z creativity
“And this means we have, we might have a generation that's afraid of, afraid to take risks, afraid to
Play with ideas afraid to challenge dominant ideas.
it's gonna lead to a lot more conformity and a lot more, a lot less creativity.”
Assertion Supported
Haidt: US teen suicide is up 25% for boys, 70% for girls
“The rates of self-harm, that is kids who are hospitalized because they cut themselves, that, that's for girls only. Boys are not changing on that. That goes way up in the same pattern, and then it's also suicide. The boys' suicide rate in the United States is …”
Assertion Partly supported
Haidt: Unsupervised outdoor play shifted from age 6 to ages 10–14
“And people who were born before 1982, the answer is always six plus or minus a year. We used to always let kids out outside with other kids at the age of six or seven, and then I ask just kids born after 1995, and the answer is usually between 10 and 14.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Haidt Predicts Overprotective Parenting Culture Will Reverse as Mental Health Data Spreads
“And that's why I'm actually optimistic that this is going to change, because as I said, two years ago, we didn't know the suicide stats. We didn't know the terrible things that are happening. It's only in the last year or two that it's really become public kno…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Haidt: 1990s Abduction Panic Occurred While Crime Plummeted
“Just as the crime was plummeting in the nineties, we totally freaked out about child abduction, and we literally stopped letting kids out of our sight.”
Assertion Supported
Haidt: Girls have higher internalizing disorders while boys externalize disorders
“Girls have more of what are called internalizing disorders. That is disorders, emotional disorders where they make themselves miserable. They ruminate more than boys do. Boys have higher rates of what are known as externalizing disorders which is they make oth…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Haidt: Silicon Valley tech creators routinely ban their kids from social media
“In Silicon Valley, the norm has been, you know, we, they don't let their kids use social media and that's been going on a long time.”
Assertion Supported
Haidt: Girls' rates of depression and anxiety diverge and rise at puberty
“Rates of depression and anxiety before puberty are fairly similar. But at puberty there's a big divergence and depression and anxiety generally go up for girls.”