The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Fry: Judicial sentencing varies based on arbitrary factors like sports losses
“There's studies that show that if you take the same case to different judges, you get a different response. But even if you take the same case to the same judge and just on a different day, you get different responses. Or judges who have daughters tend to be m…”
Fry: An early skin cancer AI classified malignancy by spotting rulers
“There was a skin cancer diagnosis algorithm that was picking up on lesions on people's skins, photographs taken by dermatologists was the training set. And it turned out that the algorithm wasn't really looking at the lesion itself at all. It was deciding whet…”
Fry: IBM Deep Blue introduced deliberate delays to simulate human thinking
“The IBM team deliberately coded their machine so that the way that it worked for you would sort of search for solutions. And depending on how long that search would take, it would be how quickly the answer came back, but they deliberately coded it so that some…”
Fry: Couples with low negativity thresholds have better long-term relationship success
“Turns out, though, when you actually look in the data, the exact opposite is true. So the chances the people who have the best chance at long-term success are actually the people who've got really low negativity thresholds. So these instead, they're the people…”
Fry: DeepMind uses dual AI agents to make medical diagnostics interpretable
“A deep mind who I spent a long time working with on public outreach projects one of their big systems is rather than just having an algorithm that tells you what the answer is, is having two separate AIs, right? Two separate agents. One of them that highlights…”
Fry: Pre-2018 UK epidemiological models relied on a tiny 2006 survey
“And up until a couple of years ago it sounds mad to say it, but you know, given that everyone's carrying mobile phones, but up until a couple of years ago, the best possible data that we had within the UK, at least for how people did that, how people moved and…”