The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 1 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Munger: Pavlov's flood-trapped dogs showed total reversal of conditioned personality
“Here my favorite example is, is, is the great Pavlov, and he had all these dogs in cages, which had all been conditioned into changed behaviors, and the great Leningrad flood came, and it just went right up, and the dog's in a cage, and the dog had as much str…”
Charlie Munger Nov 18, 2025 ▶ 53:16 Charlie Munger: The Psychology of Human Misjudgment [Outliers]
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