why aren't all 16 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2029
Jacobs: QXO will reach $50 billion by capturing 6% of distribution market
“I want to build a company that's called fifty billion dollars. I can do that. If there's an eight hundred billion dollar size, I can take six percent of that through acquisition and through organic growth. I can get to fifty billion dollars.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Jacobs: Kurzweil is probably right that human-technology merger will create new species
“Ray predicts a singularity whereby technology becomes more intelligent, more capable than humans, and we merge with technology, that we use so much technology in our own bodies, with wearables, and nanobots, and so forth, that, and AI, and outsourcing our memo…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Paribas gave Jacobs's early oil trading business a $1B credit line
“I deposited it with Banque Paribas, now it's BNP Paribas, back then it was Paribas, and they gave me a billion dollar line of credit, and I swung for the fences. I used sometimes up to nine hundred and ninety million dollars of that line of credit, doing count…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2027
Jacobs: QXO will reach $50B by taking 6% market share
“There are this eight hundred billion dollars of distributors in Western Europe and in North America, which is where I want to plant my flag. I want to build a company that's called fifty billion dollars. I can do that. If there's an eight hundred billion dolla…”
Assertion Supported
Jacobs delivered 32x to 150x returns across five consecutive companies
“So in my companies, we've been fortunate that we've been able to give back 32 times their money in one, and another company is over 150 times. So really, Really large, large, large returns, like over the top, unusually high returns. That wasn't by luck. That w…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Banque Paribas granted Jacobs a $1B credit line for oil trading
“I took all the rest of my money. I deposited it with Banque Paribas, and now it's BNP Paribas, back then it was Paribas, and they gave me a billion dollar line of credit, and I swung for the fences. I used sometimes up to nine hundred and ninety million dollar…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2027
Jacobs: QXO can reach $50B in revenue through acquisitions and organic growth
“There are, there's eight hundred billion dollars of distributors in Western Europe and in North America, which is where I want to plant my flag. I want to build a company that's called fifty billion dollars. I can do that. If there's an eight hundred billion d…”
Assertion Supported
XPO turned a $3B Con-way acquisition into a $15B asset
“We bought it for about Three billion dollars. Roughly half of it was equities. It really bought it for a billion and a half dollars plus, plus some leverage. Today it's worth something like fifteen billion dollars, and that's after having taken out Many, like,…”
Assertion Supported
XPO's Conway acquisition yielded $15B in value and $5B in cash
“We bought it for about
Three billion dollars.
Roughly half of it was equities.
It really bought it for a billion and a half dollars plus, plus some leverage.
Today it's worth something like fifteen billion dollars, and that's after having taken out many, like …”
Assertion Supported
Jacobs has completed approximately 500 acquisitions with his teams
“My teams that I've led have done about 500 acquisitions. I've been involved in those acquisitions.”
Assertion Supported
Jacobs's companies generated 32x and 150x returns for shareholders
“So, in my companies, we've been fortunate that we've been able to give back 32 times their money in one, and another company is over a 150 times.”
Assertion Supported
Jacobs tripled post-2015 acquisition profits through integration without raising equity
“Sometimes we've done some acquisitions, like in 2015, we did two big acquisitions and then we digested them. And we integrated and optimized and doubled and tripled the profit without doing any acquisitions. During that period of time, we didn't need to raise …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Multiple Jacobs executives made tens of millions, and one made over $100M
“I've had people on the senior level make, many, many people make, become millionaires, multi-millionaires. I've had people become tens of millionaires. I had one person who made over a hundred million dollars.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Brad Jacobs has led teams through roughly 500 acquisitions
“My teams that I've led have done about 500 acquisitions. I've been involved in those acquisitions. So I get into the details of what are we buying? And to buy those 500 companies, we looked at thousands and thousands of other companies that we didn't buy”
Assertion Supported
Jacobs: XPO levered past 4x for Conway before $550M asset sale
“When I bought Conway, we levered up to about four times, a little more than four times, but we very quickly sold off, I mentioned that truckload division, for five hundred fifty million dollars, boom, we paid down a whole bunch of debt right from that.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
One of Jacobs' senior executives earned over $100 million
“I've had people on the senior level make, many, many people make, become millionaires, multi-millionaires. I've had people become tens of millionaires. I had one person who made over a hundred million dollars.”