The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 17 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Brockman: Elon, Sam, Ilya, and I Agreed OpenAI Needed For-Profit Structure
“Elon, Sam, Ilya, and I all agreed. That the only path forward for OpenAI, the only path to achieve the mission, was to create a for-profit entity associated with OpenAI of some form. And so we were committed to that direction, and that is something that we kne…”
Wolfe: Tesla got away with accounting fraud on warranty reserves
“And so, for me with Tesla, I think that they got away with accounting fraud. On warranty reserves and a whole bunch of other things. I think there was a lot of prestidigitation and magic of look over here while we're doing this. And today it doesn't matter bec…”
Poilievre: Mark Carney holds 90% of assets in US, dodges Canadian taxes
“Here's Mark Carney, the guy who moved his corporate headquarters to the US, who has 90% of his assets in the US who You know, he, Carney dodges his taxes in Canada by putting his, putting them in the Caribbean.”
Hastings: Dave Chappelle is not anti-trans
“Which I don't believe that Dave is anti-trans, but he definitely takes on some of the issues”
School Psychology Staff Function Exactly Like Corporate DEI Departments
“Because the psych staffs are like the DEI staffs of an organ, of a corporation. That's what the psych staff now is at a school. They effectively run the schools. They pass judgment on everything. They control what a teacher can assign. What kind of test a teac…”
Johnson: Suicidal ideation in severe depression is a rational and reasonable response
“When people feel suicidal, I am deeply empathetic. It is rational to want to kill oneself. It's reasonable.”
Adam Robinson claims he knows more about financial markets than anyone living
“I, Adam, know more about financial markets than any other living person.”
Srinivasan: Centralized Science Post-WWII Became Equivalent to a State Religion
“The bad that came out of it is you built this centralized funnel as opposed to lots of folks with independent power centers and funding sources, figuring out stuff from their own. Instead, you had like a single Thing, which was like official science and offici…”
Balaji: Corporate journalists act as hit men for old money targeting tech
“You know the names of all the tech people, because media corporations are at war with tech companies, and the owners of media corporations are It's not that they get good coverage. They get no coverage. They're just like blotted out, you know, all of this rhet…”
Balaji Srinivasan: Western governments will lose battle against decentralized network elite
“And I think that Western governments will lose. It's going to be super nasty and super gnarly, but on balance, they will lose because their ideology is not one that attracts the very top talent.”
Srinivasan: Child labor laws triggered a long campaign of societal infantilization
“Reasonably, all these child labor laws were passed that essentially began this long campaign of infantilization. And now it's something where you're like on your parents' health insurance till age”
Parrish: Snowden's leak of exploitation techniques cost people lives
“You can just reveal the details of the programs, but the actual techniques that he revealed, the software techniques, the exploitation techniques that, I mean, that, that definitely cost people lives that had a huge impact on people working there.”
McLean: Elon Musk has repeatedly lied to secure funding for his vision
“That's certainly true of Elon Musk. Wherever you believe he sits in that spectrum, when you look at his history, he's for sure lied at many points in time in order to keep funding his dream.”
Calacanis: Tim Cook should not be CEO of Apple anymore
“If a company is storing a bunch of capital and paying you a dividend, that signals to us that you are not a bold and ambitious founder, and this is one of the big problems I have with Apple and Tim Cook, which, who I don't think should be CEO of that company a…”
Robinson: The concept of 'intrinsic value' in fundamental analysis is a fraud
“Intrinsic value is a fraud, and I can demonstrate that. It's a fraud for several reasons. First, I'm using air quotes. What he really meant by intrinsic value is true value. But he knows if he used the phrase true value of something, that people would say, hey…”
Robinson: Boys outperform on tests because their unpreparedness breeds psychological resilience
“And boys who tend to be unprepared, more unprepared than girls do better on standardized tests, precisely because when they run into difficulty, they expect it to.”
Nutrition Science Is Not a Functioning Scientific Discipline
“I don't believe nutrition science is a functioning science. That it lacks many of the characteristics that a functioning science has to have, particularly the sort of critical, rigorous back and forth between scientists where they're attacking each other's ide…”