Avoiding confirmation bias is far harder than generating new analysis
Ben Thompson · #40 Ben Thompson: Thriving in a Digital World · Sep 5, 2018 · at 28:45
Ben Thompson, author of Stratechery, explains to Shane Parrish how he manages his daily analytical output and avoids writer's block by using mental models.
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“I think from my perspective it's less the coming up with opinions that is difficult and more the, Trying to keep a very strong sort of guard up against like confirmation bias where, where things happen and, oh, that, that, that fits my view of the world. I'm, that, that must be true. Whereas making sure you always take the time to go back and say, wait, let me double check, make sure this is right because it would be awfully easy to follow this or say something. Oh, that must be wrong. Well, maybe no, maybe it's right. Maybe I'm wrong. And so I think it's more about the discipline of avoiding confirmation biases. I think that the bigger challenge as opposed to consistently coming up with things to write about.”
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