Gary Klein

Chief Scientist, ShadowBox LLC · 1 appearance on the record.

computed by AI from the episodes · how this works → · full disclaimer →

27statements → 3claims → 3claims resolved → 100%fully supported → 3.93/5average certainty → 2.3/5average debate potential → ≈4.5/5argument clarity, estimated → 5said about them ↓

3 supported 0 partly supported 0 contradicted how the 3 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

3 assertions · 24 insights · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 3 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 3 are resolved. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Gary argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Klein: Research shows group brainstorming fails to yield more innovative ideas
“The research on like brainstorming, we're all brainstorming together. The research shows that brainstorming does not produce more ideas and more innovative ideas.”
Gary Klein Aug 9, 2022 ▶ 1:08:24 Gary Klein: Insights For Making Better Decisions

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Gary Klein on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

Everything Gary Klein said on the Knowledge Project that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Assertion Supported
Klein: Half-Day ShadowBox Training Boosts Expert Alignment by 25%
“We show that people's match to the experts increases by about 25% in just a half a day of training.”
Gary Klein Aug 9, 2022 ▶ 1:19:41 Gary Klein: Insights For Making Better Decisions
Insight
Klein: Aim for individuals to trust you more after encounters than before
“One of his rules of thumb, maybe the most important one for my consideration is he said, whenever he's in an encounter with a civilian, or even with a lawbreaker, he said, I want that person To trust me more at the end of the encounter than at the beginning.”
Gary Klein Aug 9, 2022 ▶ 1:25:51 Gary Klein: Insights For Making Better Decisions
Insight
Klein: Fixation Errors Occur When People Explain Away Anomalies
“The way we get stuck in fixation and making fixation errors is we explain away the anomalies, hold on to the original wrong impression until it's far too late.”
Gary Klein Aug 9, 2022 ▶ 38:13 Gary Klein: Insights For Making Better Decisions

The other half of the tape: Gary Klein's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 3 times in 2 episodes on the Knowledge Project. 2 statements on the record name them. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Daniel Kahneman 3

Statements about Gary Klein, by other people (2)

Insight
Kahneman: Premortems legitimize and reward dissent in group decision-making
“It's beautiful because when people are coming close to a decision, it becomes Difficult to raise doubts or to raise questions. People who are slowing the group down when the group is nearing a decision are procedures really, you know, it's annoying, you know, …”
Daniel Kahneman Jul 22, 2025 ▶ 54:57 Daniel Kahneman: Algorithms Make Better Decisions Than You
Insight
Kahneman: Premortems legitimize team dissent and reveal critical decision loopholes
“And the premortem legitimizes that sort of dissent and that sort of doubt. Not only legitimizes it, you know, it rewards it. And so that's a very good idea. I don't, you know, I don't think that it's going to prevent people from making mistakes, big mistakes, …”
Daniel Kahneman Oct 15, 2019 ▶ 48:47 #68 Daniel Kahneman: Putting Your Intuition on Ice

Every mention by year

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0011212019202020212022202320242025episodesmentions
0112019202020212022202320242025episodes it came up in
0010.5212019202020212022202320242025episodesmentions per episode
2025 2 mentions in 1 episode
2019 1 mention in 1 episode

Appearances (1)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
Gary Klein: Insights For Making Better Decisions Aug 9, 2022 1h 2m
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