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weather forecasters

1 statements across 1 episodes · 1 bullish · 0 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Sep 7, 2021 by Todd Simkin · across every show →

Everything said about weather forecasters, oldest first

Sep 7, 2021 positive
Assertion Supported
Simkin: Weather forecasters are exceptionally well-calibrated in probability assessments
“Weather forecasters are really good. I mean, just stupid good. And if you were to plot how often it rains when they say there's a 30% chance of rain, it's like 30% of the time. It's not 25 or 35.”
Todd Simkin Sep 7, 2021 ▶ 37:21 #119 Todd Simkin: Making Better Decisions
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