self-driving cars

also referred to as: self-driving car

6 statements across 4 episodes · 3 bullish · 1 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Nov 13, 2015 by Chris Dixon · across every show →

Everything said about self-driving cars, oldest first

Nov 13, 2015
Insight
Dixon: Basic highway autonomous driving is easy; edge cases are the challenge
“So like self-driving cars are another good example where if somebody tells you, oh, I saw a self-driving car, and it was able to drive on the highway during daylight, that's actually not very impressive, and that's actually something that almost anyone can bui…”
Chris Dixon Nov 13, 2015 ▶ 43:07 #5 Chris Dixon: The State of Venture Capital
Aug 30, 2016 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Domingos: Autonomous Cars Could Compete in the Indy 500 Within Years
“Well, I think we could at this point actually, and it might actually win. I think in the past, the technology wasn't ready. And then once the technology is ready that people have to let it happen, right? So the Indy 500 would have to let a self-driving car com…”
Pedro Domingos Aug 30, 2016 ▶ 50:30 #13 Pedro Domingos: The Rise of The Machines
Aug 30, 2016 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2031
Domingos: Most Cars Will Be Self-Driving Between 2026 and 2031
“But I, my guess is that, you know, five years from now, there will be a lot of self-driving cars around and, you know, maybe 10 years from now, 15, Most cars will be self-driving.”
Pedro Domingos Aug 30, 2016 ▶ 53:37 #13 Pedro Domingos: The Rise of The Machines
Aug 30, 2016 positive
Insight
Domingos: Autonomous Vehicles Only Need to Beat Humans, Not Reach Perfection
“The cars don't have to be perfect before we start using them instead of people. They just have to get better than people.”
Pedro Domingos Aug 30, 2016 ▶ 53:26 #13 Pedro Domingos: The Rise of The Machines
Aug 21, 2018 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cowen: Autonomous vehicles could worsen road traffic congestion via errand trips
“Self-driving cars could make the problem worse, you know, because you'll send out your car or your vehicle on all kinds of errands. Oh, go to Whole Foods and pick me up some smoked salmon. I'm hungry. And there may be fewer people on the road, but the people t…”
Tyler Cowen Aug 21, 2018 ▶ 21:28 #39 Tyler Cowen: Thinking About Thinking
Aug 6, 2019 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2029
Howey predicts self-driving robotaxis will reduce car ownership to 10%
“And car ownership is going to become a thing that only a minority of humans even own a car because of the way they'll even they'll never be parked really though because every car that can drive itself is a robot, basically, that can go earn money by running Ub…”
Hugh Howey Aug 6, 2019 ▶ 28:20 #63 Hugh Howey: Winning at the Self-publishing Game
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