Phil Tedlach
1 statements across 1 episodes · 1 bullish · 0 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Sep 6, 2022 by Barbara Tversky · across every show →
Everything said about Phil Tedlach, oldest first
Sep 6, 2022 positive
Tversky: Superforecasters succeed through fine calibration and perspective changing
“They are numerate, so they can distinguish between 10% probability and 15% probability, and they can change their predictions by a percentage point or two percentage points, so they're well calibrated in their use of probabilities. But most of all, they seem t…”