IARPA, every mention
4 scenes · ← back to IARPA
tap a year for its mentions
every year anyone Philip Tetlock 7
Verbatim, from the transcripts: the passages where IARPA comes up
#6 Philip Tetlock: How to See the Future
- ▶ 6:04 Philip Tetlock Uh, well, what we find in the ARPA tournament is, is that there certainly is an element of chance in predicting geopolitical and geoeconomic outcomes, uh, but the skill luck ratio seems to be about 70 30. 2 times in the scene
- ▶ 13:28 Philip Tetlock And someone comes along like IARPA is this, this upstart research and development, uh, branch of the, for the office of director of national intelligence.
- ▶ 25:29 Philip Tetlock I mean, imagine that if you, if you just did what we did in the ARFA tournament to win it, and you just identified the very best people and brought them together and nurtured them and helped them and pushed them hard. 2 times in the scene
- ▶ 35:17 Philip Tetlock Well, uh, there, there are many questions in the IARCA tournament. 2 times in the scene