diversity of perspectives
1 statements across 1 episodes · 1 bullish · 0 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Dec 8, 2015 by Philip Tetlock · across every show →
Everything said about diversity of perspectives, oldest first
Dec 8, 2015 positive
Tetlock: Algorithmically extremizing independent forecasts produces more accurate predictions
“Each of you has very different reasons for believing .7. This leaves me to suppose that the answer is probably more extreme than .7, because if each of you knew the reasons the others had, you would probably become more extreme. And that's exactly what the bes…”