belief updating
1 statements across 1 episodes · 0 bullish · 0 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Dec 8, 2015 by Philip Tetlock · across every show →
Everything said about belief updating, oldest first
Dec 8, 2015 neutral
Tetlock: Belief updating works without strong priors, but fails with ideological convictions
“I think we can make people better belief updaters on problems where they don't have very strong ideological priors or preconceptions. But when people have really strong emotions and ideological convictions about presidential candidates or economic policy or wh…”