why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Partly supported
DeepSeek Release Doubled Asian AWS GPU Rental Prices Due to Compute Demand
“And that was really strange because by Deep Seek Monday, it was super clear That this was going to be the most positive thing that had ever happened to compute demand. Prices in the AWS availability zones in Asia had already, like, doubled. You were seeing GPU…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Wang: Chinese State Forbids DeepSeek From Communicating With Foreigners
“These companies generally don't like to talk to foreigners at the best of times. And then you have, An overbearing state that in some cases forbids deep seek from chatting with foreigners.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gurley: China's open AI models will enable experimentation unmatched in the US
“And so that level of competition, if it leads to four deep pocketed, all open products is going to be ultra powerful. And we've already learned that these models can train each other and help each other get better. So if you have four open ones that can all tr…”
Assertion Supported
Rao: Anthropic Reached Nearly $1B Run Rate by Late 2024 Series E
“At the end of 20, 24, we raised the Series E. You know, the business had scaled to, you know, close to a billion dollars of run rate revenue, but the day of our first close was the day of the DeepSeek news came out.”
Assertion Supported
Mehta: DeepSeek achieved a 35x token cost reduction versus OpenAI reasoning models
“Deep seek, figure out a way to deploy a model at like a 35 X reduction for input output tokens on a comparative basis to open a eyes reasoning models.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Granat: Public markets will face more DeepSeek-style knee-jerk shock reactions
“And I think there was a knee jerk reaction from the market. We will have more of these, right? That is just part of this.”