The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Movva: Meta and OpenAI purchases have consumed AMD's chip supply
“I think publicly, Meta and OpenAI have bought a ton of AMD chips, and so, we're increasingly seeing that all the AMD supply is also being allocated.”
Neil Movva Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 47:06 Ex-NVIDIA Engineer: Why AI Is About to Get 1000x Cheaper
Assertion Partly supported
Frontier Mixture of Experts Models Now Activate Only 1% of Experts
“If you look at a modern MOE model, there are very few models that are more than 10% dense, meaning 10% of the possible number of experts you can activate are activated, and I think the frontier models are closer like one percent.”
Neil Movva Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 1:03:52 Ex-NVIDIA Engineer: Why AI Is About to Get 1000x Cheaper
Assertion Supported
Movva: An 800mm² Die Made Entirely of SRAM Would Hold Only Single-Digit Gigabytes
“The problem with SRAM is it takes a lot of area on the silicon die so if you want to build a large die, like let's say the NVIDIA Blackwell at 800 millimeters square, if you made that whole die SRAM, It would be in the maybe like single digit gigabytes. It's n…”
Neil Movva Aug 25, 2026 ▶ 24:24 Ex-NVIDIA Engineer: Why AI Is About to Get 1000x Cheaper
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