Insight certainty 4/5 debate potential 3/5

Baker: Model routing cuts costs via margins without reducing compute demand

Gavin Baker · Why the Markets Are Pricing AI Wrong | Gavin Baker · Invest Like The Best · Aug 4, 2026 · at 30:38

Gavin Baker, Managing Partner at Atreides Management, explains to Patrick O'Shaughnessy why enterprise optimization and open-source model routing do not reduce aggregate demand for AI hardware infrastructure.

0:00 / 0:38exact quote · 38.6s
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“You can, in a lot of cases, get slightly better outcomes at half the cost. But again, that half the cost, I think a lot of people hear that, they're like, that's bad for AI demand. It's actually not at all because the cost the user pays has, you know, is just a function of the margin on the tokens, and you're literally just shifting tokens from really expensive tokens with like, 90% gross margins to tokens with maybe, let's call it a 30% gross margin. And that's where the savings are coming from, but the tokens cost the same amount of compute To produce.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

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