The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 462 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Panigrahi claims Indian clinics are curing Alzheimer's using exosome therapy.
“There are players who do stem cell rejuvenation. They are curing dementia and Alzheimer through exosome therapy or stem cell rejuvenation.”
Chen: SpaceX IPO completed at a $2.2T valuation
“You know, you hear about the space exes that just, you know,
Finally one IPO with a 2.2 trillion dollar valuation.”
Chadha: South India had only three recorded cancer cases before 1970
“Till the 19 seventies, I think in all of South India, there was like three recorded cases of cancer.”
Khan: Poor hiring and leadership cause nearly 24% of startup failures
“About 25, almost 24% of startups will fail because of either hiring poor hiring management decisions or just general leadership problems. So these are the sort of Mesh issues that they deal with, and that is the third leading cause of startup death. It's above…”
Ranjan: Research Shows Chatbot Usage Correlates With Lower Cognitive Skills
“Research is showing that the more you use these kind of chatbots, the lesser your cognitive skills are, the divergence between the scores.”
Tripathi: Most of India's Top 10 Video Games Are Chinese
“The top 10 games in India, most of them are actually Chinese. Many don't know our money is actually going to China.”
Walker: Median Carta seed valuations exceed 2021 bubble peak
“At Seed, for instance, they're higher than they were in twenty-twenty-one, which was our most recent peak bubble era. And they're higher by a considerable amount. You know, the median seed valuation on Carta these days is probably something like 16 or seventee…”
Sonkin: Visualizing actions increases blood flow and directly develops muscle strength
“And secondly, it actually develops the muscle strength, because when you visualize actions, your other parts of the body sense Already, because it anticipates the movement onset, so it sends nutrition and increased blood flow to this region, to this muscle, so…”
Rothzeid: Palantir is the most valuable publicly traded defense contractor
“I think so much now that they're the most valuable, you know, defense contractor out there on the public market.”
Devillieres: Vitesse Automation uses natural language to code industrial machines in real-time
“He created a company called Vitesse Full Speed Automation. He can code any machine with natural language, real-time.”
Rajagopal: Amazon was the first to launch a digital wallet in India
“I think we were the first to you know, put out that wallet in the system in Indian system.”
Shtabtsovsky: Backtested AI Deal-Sourcing Algorithm Yields 14x Portfolio Returns
“So in the paper I mentioned before that inspired the tool, actually we predicted, so we backtested this algorithm finding the companies and it predicted to have a 14 times revelation on the whole portfolio of startups that you invest in using this algorithm. S…”
Shtabtsovsky: AI Sourcing Algorithm Predicts Startup Exits With 86% Accuracy
“There is another metric that probably worth mentioning is that the algorithm is right in about 86% of the cases that it's solving. So it's, again, it's looking at the startup and deciding ultimately, will it have an exit, a good exit, Or not. And in 86% chance…”
Anderson: KiHealth validated liquid biopsy detecting diabetes two years before symptoms
“And we just clinically validated the first liquid biopsy test that can identify diabetes two years before you're symptomatic.”
Gujral claims Klarna rehired half the customer support staff it fired
“Less than a year later, they've come back saying we are rehiring half of those people we fired because, you know, it's really not working out because people want to talk to people.”
Gujral: Five Southeast Asian Markets Match India's Discretionary Spender Pool
“India is not, it's a large country with a lot of people, but the number of people who can spend 10,000 dollars a year on discretionary spend is much smaller number. To take that to Southeast Asia and you take that percentage of people who can spend the same am…”
Jackie DeMarco: Dementia and Alzheimer's patients usually die from inability to eat
“And interestingly enough, you know, when people have dementia and Alzheimer's, they usually die because of, they can't eat. So that's a bigger problem than, you know, the dementia itself.”
Padnos: VCs rate male founders higher in 13 of 16 success attributes
“The male and the female entrepreneurs responded to a long set of questions, almost identically. But when you ask the VCs, the question is a male or a female, what are the most important attributes first stack rank them? And then is a male or a female more like…”
Padnos: Female VCs hold identical gender biases to male VCs
“None of, and by the way, if you're wondering the male and the V and the female VCs answered almost identically. No. It wasn't just the men saying women face higher obstacles.”
Tepper: There are zero billionaire traders in the world
“So of that list, there's zero billionaire traders. And of the 3000 billionaires, they're split between stock investors, real estate investors, and entrepreneurs.”
McDowell predicts peak cycle prices: BTC $150k, ETH $10k, SOL $700
“I think realistic targets for this cycle, Bitcoin, a hundred and 150 K Ethereum, probably 10 K plus Solana could go to six, 700.”
McDowell predicts the US will build a strategic Bitcoin reserve
“If America start building a strategic Bitcoin reserve, which I think they will, they probably already have, right? And they're talking about it now, who knows how long they've been buying for.”
Cooper: Black enterprise founders raise Series A at 5x the market rate
“When you really study the category, one in three black founders who are focused on enterprise tech is getting the series A. Right. The gross number for everybody is one in 15. Right. So they're beating the market by a factor of five.”
Gandhi: History's Greatest Philosophers Were Heirs to Extreme Wealth
“More often than not, it has been observed from Buddha to Mahavi to Wittgenstein. They were all princes. You know, Wittgenstein was the son of the richest steel Baron of Europe. Some of the greatest philosophers of the last 2003 thousand years came from extreme…”
Uber and Meta Cap Employee AI Coding Spending at 1500 Monthly
“Uber famously just put a 1500 dollar per employee cap on vibe coding per month. Meta's been reported to do the same.”
Modi: Investment banks are maintaining flat headcount while adopting AI
“So you're seeing the banks actually not do massive headcount reductions. They're actually staying flat adopting AI.”
Chadha: Mumbai's Dharavi slum exports up to $700 million globally
“It exports between six hundred million to seven hundred million dollars worth of goods everywhere to the world.”
Chadha: China's TikTok algorithm pushes robotics and science, unlike the West
“In China, TikTok pushes out content about robotics, about aeronautics, about science.”
Bayramov: Prompt injection against foundational LLMs has leaked US customer data
“We've seen a lot of data leakages happening on, on foundational LLMs because, you know, someone in India was trying to prompt inject the company in the US, and they were able to get their customer data.”
Statter: Under 1% of Wildfire Protection Plans Include Ember Analysis
“So, you know, historically, even though 90% of structures are igniting from embers, Less than one percent of our community wildfire protection plans , the acronym is a CWPP, which defines where the wildfire exposed areas of your community are. Less than one pe…”
Khanna estimates that 99% of cyber frauds target senior citizens
“See, seniors are a very vulnerable population, especially when it comes to interface with technology, using so many cyber frauds that happen mostly. I think 99% of them are with seniors.”
Franklin: House Passed Bill Raising VC Non-Qualifying Cap to 49.5%
“And we have legislation that we've made it through the House of Representatives on a bipartisan basis. Now we're trying to get it through the Senate, and it would move that 20% bucket Of secondaries and fund-to-fund activity up to 49 and a half percent.”
Franklin: NVCA secured phased QSBS tax exclusions in federal legislation
“So we had recommended making improvements to qualified small business stocks. So you didn't have that five year cliff. And we made the argument that companies might be making bad business decisions because they're waiting for this five years. What if we phased…”
Chatterjee: Revolut is valued at $72B, topping Barclays and NatWest
“We're valued at seventy two billion dollars, the second highest valued fintech, higher valued than a lot of banks, UK based banks, like your Barclays, NatWest, et cetera, where Revolut is today valued higher than that, the second highest valued fintech globall…”
Tripathi: India is the only surviving pre-Bronze Age culture
“We're the only pre-bronze age culture that is still alive.”
Deora: India has more video game players than any other country
“More gamers than any other country.”
Walker: Series A B2B software median ARR jumps from $1M to $3M
“Insofar as we can tell, if you take that core B to B software company, you know, used to be, you have a million bucks in ARR. You can start talking about a series A. Now it's three on median and the top end is more like seven or eight.”
Walker: Mega funds boom while emerging managers face a struggling separate market
“The biggest venture funds in the planet are fundraising Better than they ever have. But it's almost as though there's two separate venture markets. There's the emerging manager, smaller fund market, and then there's the massive manager, mega fund market. One i…”
Walker: 8 to 10 famous companies dominate 80% of VC secondary volume
“That's probably 80% of the total transacted volume in secondaries for venture these days is eight to 10 names that everybody already knows.”
Rolf: AI Agents Will Become Economic Actors That Transact Money
“So you have general AI agents. It's very early days, but they will become economic actors. They will buy things. They will sell things. They will you know, conceptually push the button to move money.”
Ahuja: Yahoo and Jerry Yang sought to acquire News Corp in early 2000s
“Jerry Yang and Yahoo were chasing Rupert to essentially acquire News Corporation, you know, following the footsteps of, you know, what AOL did.”
Dawber: 68% of London's workforce holds graduate degrees, highest globally
“We have 68% of our working population. 68% are graduates. 68% of the workforce. There's nowhere like that on planet Earth.”
Dawber: London AI PhD developer salaries are half of New York's
“Compared to New York or Silicon Valley, for example, if you're looking for an AI PhD developer you're paying half. The salary in London for what you pay in New York”
Jadhav: The average age for ED and PE in India is 29
“I think the global average is going to be about 35, and the Indian average is actually going to be about 29, 30. It's an extremely young individual who's starting to face these problem statements on average.”
Lancaster: AI Consolidated IT Software Categories From 28 to 13
“12 months ago, we looked in, saw there's around 28 primary product categories. And that meant that, you know, you could associate at least Half dozen vendors to each one of these product or product categories that were single product focused vendors, right? Fa…”
Morgan: Larry Page and Sergey Brin Initially Booed Paid Search
“Bill Gross announced paid search at the TED conference. It was booed. People were like, oh, I, you know, people are going to pay for my time and my attention in search. No, that's horrible. Including Larry and Sergey saying, this is terrible. We'll never do th…”
Devillieres: Shein runs its $8B supply chain with just 40 data scientists
“The supply chain department of Sheen is 40 data scientists, and they are running an eight billion sales operation with like thousands of factories in the way because the control point is on the rules and not on the system.”
Rajagopal: Brazil's Pix and Singapore's PayNow copied UPI but cost users money
“So in some sense, I would say, if you look at a PICS in Brazil, or if you look at a PAYNOW in Singapore, they have largely been modeled on UPI. The interesting thing, they are not zero cost yet, right? You know, while we have a zero MDR structure.”