why aren't all 820 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 8 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Nov 2025
Dawber: London Mayor banned Accenture from contracts after it abandoned DEI
“When Accenture And I'll name them. When Accenture said, right, we're abandoning DEI. Our mayor Sadiq Khan, who was, is obviously, you know, comes from a Pakistani background. His parents came to London as immigrants when and you know, is, is very much reflecti…”
Assertion Contradicted
Panigrahi claims Indian clinics are curing Alzheimer's using exosome therapy.
“There are players who do stem cell rejuvenation. They are curing dementia and Alzheimer through exosome therapy or stem cell rejuvenation.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Marini: Grindr turnaround team terminated 70% of employees
“We ended up, and we don't normally do this terminating 70% of the employees, because it just, they were C players, and we wanted at least A minus players, if not A players, right?”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Thomas: Tripling renewables and nuclear cannot meet 2050 global energy demand
“If we could wave a magic wand and triple our output of all of our renewables, And include nuclear in there. Triple all of that. That doesn't get us to 52,000 terawatts. You still need fossil fuel. You still need oil. You still need coal. And in fact, we're goi…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Jeffrey: Next-gen AI labs are seeing $12B valuations at napkin stage
“I've seen back of the napkin Back of the napkin ideas of next gen tier one, AI labs that are valued at twelve billion dollars, starting with two billion of cash and are definitely going to raise again in 18 months, you know, to buy now.”
Assertion Partly supported
Chen: SpaceX IPO completed at a $2.2T valuation
“You know, you hear about the space exes that just, you know,
Finally one IPO with a 2.2 trillion dollar valuation.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chadha: Countries shielded from war and recession share one trait: female leaders
“We're seeing that in the current geopolitical world, and, ah, I want to say the countries that are so far isolated, not just from economic, ah, flux, but from war, from terrorism, from recession, they have female leaders. When we look at the Scandic countries,…”
Assertion Contradicted
Chadha: South India had only three recorded cancer cases before 1970
“Till the 19 seventies, I think in all of South India, there was like three recorded cases of cancer.”
Assertion Partly supported
Khan: Poor hiring and leadership cause nearly 24% of startup failures
“About 25, almost 24% of startups will fail because of either hiring poor hiring management decisions or just general leadership problems. So these are the sort of Mesh issues that they deal with, and that is the third leading cause of startup death. It's above…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Marini: Conservative ICs and Middle East Investors Refused to Buy Grindr
“Now, because Grindr is focused on LGBTQ, it was really interesting. A lot of the traditional buyers were not there in the process. There was always like someone conservative on the investment committee that was like, we can't touch that. We went to try to rais…”
Assertion Supported
Ranjan: Research Shows Chatbot Usage Correlates With Lower Cognitive Skills
“Research is showing that the more you use these kind of chatbots, the lesser your cognitive skills are, the divergence between the scores.”
Assertion Open · timeframe Mar 2029
Mukul Deora: GTA VI budget is $2B, highest in history
“Two billion for Grand Theft Auto VI, the highest cost of any IEP ever, two billion dollars launching whenever this year they keep doing it.”
Assertion Contradicted
Tripathi: Most of India's Top 10 Video Games Are Chinese
“The top 10 games in India, most of them are actually Chinese. Many don't know our money is actually going to China.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Johnson built a prototype of a competitor's platform in 24 hours
“And I built their entire platform, myself, in 24 hours, the entire prototype of that platform, and then pass it to engineers to start the process of developing it.”
Assertion Supported
Walker: Median Carta seed valuations exceed 2021 bubble peak
“At Seed, for instance, they're higher than they were in twenty-twenty-one, which was our most recent peak bubble era. And they're higher by a considerable amount. You know, the median seed valuation on Carta these days is probably something like 16 or seventee…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ahuja: ANSR has never reported cost metrics across its 200 GCCs
“Maintain that for the last 20 years, 200 GCCs. We've never reported cost metrics.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dawber: US VCs require Indian startups to flip to Delaware entities
“It is harder to go straight India, India, US, and whether that's New York or Silicon Valley, it's, it is more difficult. And they are more likely to say, well, actually, if you're going to be serious here, we want you to move the whole business to US, set up a…”
Assertion Partly supported
Sonkin: Visualizing actions increases blood flow and directly develops muscle strength
“And secondly, it actually develops the muscle strength, because when you visualize actions, your other parts of the body sense Already, because it anticipates the movement onset, so it sends nutrition and increased blood flow to this region, to this muscle, so…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
DiAgostaro: Top-tier VC partners do not attend accelerator Demo Days
“It is not the big brand name funds, you know, their GPs are not sitting in that room, nor would you be able to get them there, right? You're gonna be, they're gonna be sending their analysts, their lower tier associate, you know just people who their job is to…”
Assertion Supported
Rothzeid: Palantir is the most valuable publicly traded defense contractor
“I think so much now that they're the most valuable, you know, defense contractor out there on the public market.”
Assertion Supported
Devillieres: Vitesse Automation uses natural language to code industrial machines in real-time
“He created a company called Vitesse Full Speed Automation. He can code any machine with natural language, real-time.”
Assertion Contradicted
Rajagopal: Amazon was the first to launch a digital wallet in India
“I think we were the first to you know, put out that wallet in the system in Indian system.”
Assertion Supported
Shtabtsovsky: Backtested AI Deal-Sourcing Algorithm Yields 14x Portfolio Returns
“So in the paper I mentioned before that inspired the tool, actually we predicted, so we backtested this algorithm finding the companies and it predicted to have a 14 times revelation on the whole portfolio of startups that you invest in using this algorithm. S…”
Assertion Supported
Shtabtsovsky: AI Sourcing Algorithm Predicts Startup Exits With 86% Accuracy
“There is another metric that probably worth mentioning is that the algorithm is right in about 86% of the cases that it's solving. So it's, again, it's looking at the startup and deciding ultimately, will it have an exit, a good exit, Or not. And in 86% chance…”
Assertion Contradicted
Anderson: KiHealth validated liquid biopsy detecting diabetes two years before symptoms
“And we just clinically validated the first liquid biopsy test that can identify diabetes two years before you're symptomatic.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
A plant-based therapeutic demonstrated 75% efficacy compared to synthetic GLP-1s
“And in a head-to-head study, it had 75% efficacy comparative to GLP ones, which are obviously artificial.”
Assertion Contradicted
Gujral claims Klarna rehired half the customer support staff it fired
“Less than a year later, they've come back saying we are rehiring half of those people we fired because, you know, it's really not working out because people want to talk to people.”
Assertion Supported
Gujral: Five Southeast Asian Markets Match India's Discretionary Spender Pool
“India is not, it's a large country with a lot of people, but the number of people who can spend 10,000 dollars a year on discretionary spend is much smaller number. To take that to Southeast Asia and you take that percentage of people who can spend the same am…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Vaidya: Nobody Believed Indian D2C Brands Would Reach ₹1,000 Crores in 2021
“No one in twenty-twenty-one could foresee the scale that e-commerce would get, the growth that e-commerce would get, the ability for Indian brands to reach 1000 plus, like, we're only four years later or three years later from twenty-twenty-one. At that time, …”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Restive's post-2023 portfolio outperforms its entire COVID-era investments combined
“We look at every company in the portfolio that was started after January first, 2023, they make more money now and are growing faster and we have less dilution in those positions than Everything we did in COVID combined.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dye: Even top VC funds have had minimal DPI for 4-5 years
“Even the best funds in the world haven't, haven't had much DPI for four or five years.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hieatt: Mechanical Orchard AI generates provably equivalent legacy rewrites
“So you end up with the AI agentic flow converging on a solution that's really good, clean, human readable code, and is provably equivalent to the old system.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Heiss: Automotive personal data is a $1.9 trillion annual market
“Has a global value of about market opportunity of 1.9 trillion dollars, 1.9 trillion dollars every year. That's the value of that personal automotive data. So that means in terms of consumer that has a value of about 1400 dollars per per per per vehicle owner.…”
Assertion Supported
Jackie DeMarco: Dementia and Alzheimer's patients usually die from inability to eat
“And interestingly enough, you know, when people have dementia and Alzheimer's, they usually die because of, they can't eat. So that's a bigger problem than, you know, the dementia itself.”
Assertion Contradicted
Padnos: VCs rate male founders higher in 13 of 16 success attributes
“The male and the female entrepreneurs responded to a long set of questions, almost identically. But when you ask the VCs, the question is a male or a female, what are the most important attributes first stack rank them? And then is a male or a female more like…”
Assertion Supported
Padnos: Female VCs hold identical gender biases to male VCs
“None of, and by the way, if you're wondering the male and the V and the female VCs answered almost identically. No. It wasn't just the men saying women face higher obstacles.”
Assertion Contradicted
Tepper: There are zero billionaire traders in the world
“So of that list, there's zero billionaire traders. And of the 3000 billionaires, they're split between stock investors, real estate investors, and entrepreneurs.”
Assertion Contradicted
Cooper: Black enterprise founders raise Series A at 5x the market rate
“When you really study the category, one in three black founders who are focused on enterprise tech is getting the series A. Right. The gross number for everybody is one in 15. Right. So they're beating the market by a factor of five.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cordoba: Every startup founder pivots their initial idea
“Because at the end of the day, we're going to end up pivoting. Find me one startup founder who hasn't pivoted. It just isn't real.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cordoba: Most startup failures stem from founder breakups
“Well, and most, because I worked after I graduated, I worked for Berkeley Skydeck, and most of the, like, startups that fail, fail due to, like, founder breakups.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Robinson: Everyday payroll fintech products have crushed US payday lending
“Payroll is now every day, okay? Which has crushed payday lending in this country, right?”
Assertion Supported
Gandhi: History's Greatest Philosophers Were Heirs to Extreme Wealth
“More often than not, it has been observed from Buddha to Mahavi to Wittgenstein. They were all princes. You know, Wittgenstein was the son of the richest steel Baron of Europe. Some of the greatest philosophers of the last 2003 thousand years came from extreme…”
Assertion Partly supported
Uber and Meta Cap Employee AI Coding Spending at 1500 Monthly
“Uber famously just put a 1500 dollar per employee cap on vibe coding per month. Meta's been reported to do the same.”
Assertion Supported
Modi: Investment banks are maintaining flat headcount while adopting AI
“So you're seeing the banks actually not do massive headcount reductions. They're actually staying flat adopting AI.”
Assertion Contradicted
Chadha: Mumbai's Dharavi slum exports up to $700 million globally
“It exports between six hundred million to seven hundred million dollars worth of goods everywhere to the world.”
Assertion Supported
Chadha: China's TikTok algorithm pushes robotics and science, unlike the West
“In China, TikTok pushes out content about robotics, about aeronautics, about science.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Emil claims contextual engineering limits AI hallucinations to simply repeating itself
“That's what brings in all of the cultural tailoring, and all of the interpretation and empathy, and eliminates the preponderance of anything that could happen of a hallucination. The worst things that happen to us, she might repeat herself. A couple of times.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Brown: AI tools compress 15 weeks of development into one week
“We have an engineering team, and they are able to, like, really utilize the tools to have 15 weeks worth of old development ways of updates in a week”