Dec 16, 2025 · 36m · innovators-investors

Antoni Kaniowski on Venture Vuilding and the Future of Work with AI

Anthony Kaniowski · 22m spoken Kristian Marquez · 9m spoken
0:00 / 0:00

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Antoni Kaniowski, Chief Operating Officer of Good Futures, joins host Christian Marquez on the Innovators and Investors Podcast to discuss systematic venture building, the operational advantages of holding company structures, and strategies for building defensible AI-native startups in the evolving workforce.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. How this is scored →

Kristian as informed peer 3.5 Guest teaching 3.3 Guest disagreement 0.8 Kristian pushing back 0.4
05100:0010:0020:0030:002:44–5:12 · Kristian as informed peer 2/10 Venture Building Mechanics and CMU Sourcing Marquez asks introductory exploratory questions about the venture builder model and sourcing from CMU. Kaniowski explains the mechanics, distinguishing startup studios from holding operating models in an informative tone.5:13–11:57 · Kristian as informed peer 3/10 Ideal Founder Profiles and Commercial Coaching Marquez prompts Kaniowski on founder characteristics and cross-border US vs. European market dynamics. Kaniowski provides detailed perspectives on how European founders face higher barriers at home compared to the US market.11:58–15:29 · Kristian as informed peer 7/10 Venture Capital Versus Holding Company Structures After Kaniowski explicitly defers to Marquez on investment modeling, Marquez demonstrates substantial domain knowledge about SPVs, tech-enabled services, and LP flexibility.15:29–19:11 · Kristian as informed peer 3/10 Founder Autonomy and Private Equity Discipline Kaniowski elaborates on the operational tension between founder autonomy and checklist micromanagement, drawing parallels to private equity discipline. Marquez validates the rationale for repeatable execution.19:12–22:10 · Kristian as informed peer 3/10 AI Native Architectures and SaaS Valuation Shifts Kaniowski challenges the prevailing narrative around SaaS valuations, arguing SaaS was simply overvalued rather than disrupted solely by AI, and outlines vertical versus horizontal software architectural realities.22:10–26:58 · Kristian as informed peer 3/10 Workforce Friction, AI Risk, and Building Trust Marquez asks about technical risk and rapid model obsolescence. Kaniowski candidly shares instances where products were wiped out by foundational models and highlights why B2B trust remains defensible.26:58–29:36 · Kristian as informed peer 1/10 Antoni Kaniowski's Operational and Consulting Journey A biographical review segment where Kaniowski recounts building bespoke product companies for German consulting firms and his background in management consulting.29:36–34:18 · Kristian as informed peer 6/10 Delivering Business Outcomes Over Product Features Kaniowski offers a provocative stance that product features matter far less than business transactions in B2B. Marquez synthesizes and extends the concept, contributing insights on fund lifecycles and LP alignment.2:44–5:12 · Guest teaching 4/10 Venture Building Mechanics and CMU Sourcing Marquez asks introductory exploratory questions about the venture builder model and sourcing from CMU. Kaniowski explains the mechanics, distinguishing startup studios from holding operating models in an informative tone.5:13–11:57 · Guest teaching 4/10 Ideal Founder Profiles and Commercial Coaching Marquez prompts Kaniowski on founder characteristics and cross-border US vs. European market dynamics. Kaniowski provides detailed perspectives on how European founders face higher barriers at home compared to the US market.11:58–15:29 · Guest teaching 2/10 Venture Capital Versus Holding Company Structures After Kaniowski explicitly defers to Marquez on investment modeling, Marquez demonstrates substantial domain knowledge about SPVs, tech-enabled services, and LP flexibility.15:29–19:11 · Guest teaching 3/10 Founder Autonomy and Private Equity Discipline Kaniowski elaborates on the operational tension between founder autonomy and checklist micromanagement, drawing parallels to private equity discipline. Marquez validates the rationale for repeatable execution.19:12–22:10 · Guest teaching 4/10 AI Native Architectures and SaaS Valuation Shifts Kaniowski challenges the prevailing narrative around SaaS valuations, arguing SaaS was simply overvalued rather than disrupted solely by AI, and outlines vertical versus horizontal software architectural realities.22:10–26:58 · Guest teaching 4/10 Workforce Friction, AI Risk, and Building Trust Marquez asks about technical risk and rapid model obsolescence. Kaniowski candidly shares instances where products were wiped out by foundational models and highlights why B2B trust remains defensible.26:58–29:36 · Guest teaching 2/10 Antoni Kaniowski's Operational and Consulting Journey A biographical review segment where Kaniowski recounts building bespoke product companies for German consulting firms and his background in management consulting.29:36–34:18 · Guest teaching 3/10 Delivering Business Outcomes Over Product Features Kaniowski offers a provocative stance that product features matter far less than business transactions in B2B. Marquez synthesizes and extends the concept, contributing insights on fund lifecycles and LP alignment.2:44–5:12 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Venture Building Mechanics and CMU Sourcing Marquez asks introductory exploratory questions about the venture builder model and sourcing from CMU. Kaniowski explains the mechanics, distinguishing startup studios from holding operating models in an informative tone.5:13–11:57 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Ideal Founder Profiles and Commercial Coaching Marquez prompts Kaniowski on founder characteristics and cross-border US vs. European market dynamics. Kaniowski provides detailed perspectives on how European founders face higher barriers at home compared to the US market.11:58–15:29 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Venture Capital Versus Holding Company Structures After Kaniowski explicitly defers to Marquez on investment modeling, Marquez demonstrates substantial domain knowledge about SPVs, tech-enabled services, and LP flexibility.15:29–19:11 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Founder Autonomy and Private Equity Discipline Kaniowski elaborates on the operational tension between founder autonomy and checklist micromanagement, drawing parallels to private equity discipline. Marquez validates the rationale for repeatable execution.19:12–22:10 · Guest disagreement 2/10 AI Native Architectures and SaaS Valuation Shifts Kaniowski challenges the prevailing narrative around SaaS valuations, arguing SaaS was simply overvalued rather than disrupted solely by AI, and outlines vertical versus horizontal software architectural realities.22:10–26:58 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Workforce Friction, AI Risk, and Building Trust Marquez asks about technical risk and rapid model obsolescence. Kaniowski candidly shares instances where products were wiped out by foundational models and highlights why B2B trust remains defensible.26:58–29:36 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Antoni Kaniowski's Operational and Consulting Journey A biographical review segment where Kaniowski recounts building bespoke product companies for German consulting firms and his background in management consulting.29:36–34:18 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Delivering Business Outcomes Over Product Features Kaniowski offers a provocative stance that product features matter far less than business transactions in B2B. Marquez synthesizes and extends the concept, contributing insights on fund lifecycles and LP alignment.2:44–5:12 · Kristian pushing back 0/10 Venture Building Mechanics and CMU Sourcing Marquez asks introductory exploratory questions about the venture builder model and sourcing from CMU. Kaniowski explains the mechanics, distinguishing startup studios from holding operating models in an informative tone.5:13–11:57 · Kristian pushing back 0/10 Ideal Founder Profiles and Commercial Coaching Marquez prompts Kaniowski on founder characteristics and cross-border US vs. European market dynamics. Kaniowski provides detailed perspectives on how European founders face higher barriers at home compared to the US market.11:58–15:29 · Kristian pushing back 2/10 Venture Capital Versus Holding Company Structures After Kaniowski explicitly defers to Marquez on investment modeling, Marquez demonstrates substantial domain knowledge about SPVs, tech-enabled services, and LP flexibility.15:29–19:11 · Kristian pushing back 0/10 Founder Autonomy and Private Equity Discipline Kaniowski elaborates on the operational tension between founder autonomy and checklist micromanagement, drawing parallels to private equity discipline. Marquez validates the rationale for repeatable execution.19:12–22:10 · Kristian pushing back 0/10 AI Native Architectures and SaaS Valuation Shifts Kaniowski challenges the prevailing narrative around SaaS valuations, arguing SaaS was simply overvalued rather than disrupted solely by AI, and outlines vertical versus horizontal software architectural realities.22:10–26:58 · Kristian pushing back 0/10 Workforce Friction, AI Risk, and Building Trust Marquez asks about technical risk and rapid model obsolescence. Kaniowski candidly shares instances where products were wiped out by foundational models and highlights why B2B trust remains defensible.26:58–29:36 · Kristian pushing back 0/10 Antoni Kaniowski's Operational and Consulting Journey A biographical review segment where Kaniowski recounts building bespoke product companies for German consulting firms and his background in management consulting.29:36–34:18 · Kristian pushing back 1/10 Delivering Business Outcomes Over Product Features Kaniowski offers a provocative stance that product features matter far less than business transactions in B2B. Marquez synthesizes and extends the concept, contributing insights on fund lifecycles and LP alignment.

speaking balance: gold is Kristian, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

0:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%0:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%3:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%3:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%6:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%6:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%9:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%9:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%12:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%12:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%15:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%15:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%18:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%18:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%21:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%21:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%24:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%24:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%27:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%27:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%30:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%30:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%33:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%33:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%36:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%36:00 · Kristian 0% · guest 100%
Sharpest disagreement ▶ 29:45 Contrarian view on product irrelevance in B2B

Kaniowski explicitly takes a controversial stance, rejecting standard tech startup wisdom by asserting that product features and interfaces do not matter compared to transactional execution.

Hardest push from Kristian ▶ 13:42 Host pushes alternative investment structuring options

Marquez gently pushes back on rigid categorization between VC and holding structures, asserting that SPVs offer superior flexibility for early operating models.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 20:05 Reframing SaaS multiples and architecture limits

Kaniowski educates on market mechanics, dispelling misconceptions about AI competition by arguing pure SaaS companies were historically overvalued rather than displaced overnight.

Kristian holds their own ▶ 13:42 Marquez demonstrates financial structuring expertise

Invited by Kaniowski as an expert, Marquez details LP capital dynamics, GP track records, and vehicle structures with clear authority.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicKristian as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementKristian pushing backWhy
Venture Building Mechanics and CMU Sourcing 2400 Marquez asks introductory exploratory questions about the venture builder model and sourcing from CMU. Kaniowski explains the mechanics, distinguishing startup studios from holding operating models in an informative tone.
Ideal Founder Profiles and Commercial Coaching 3410 Marquez prompts Kaniowski on founder characteristics and cross-border US vs. European market dynamics. Kaniowski provides detailed perspectives on how European founders face higher barriers at home compared to the US market.
Venture Capital Versus Holding Company Structures 7202 After Kaniowski explicitly defers to Marquez on investment modeling, Marquez demonstrates substantial domain knowledge about SPVs, tech-enabled services, and LP flexibility.
Founder Autonomy and Private Equity Discipline 3300 Kaniowski elaborates on the operational tension between founder autonomy and checklist micromanagement, drawing parallels to private equity discipline. Marquez validates the rationale for repeatable execution.
AI Native Architectures and SaaS Valuation Shifts 3420 Kaniowski challenges the prevailing narrative around SaaS valuations, arguing SaaS was simply overvalued rather than disrupted solely by AI, and outlines vertical versus horizontal software architectural realities.
Workforce Friction, AI Risk, and Building Trust 3410 Marquez asks about technical risk and rapid model obsolescence. Kaniowski candidly shares instances where products were wiped out by foundational models and highlights why B2B trust remains defensible.
Antoni Kaniowski's Operational and Consulting Journey 1200 A biographical review segment where Kaniowski recounts building bespoke product companies for German consulting firms and his background in management consulting.
Delivering Business Outcomes Over Product Features 6321 Kaniowski offers a provocative stance that product features matter far less than business transactions in B2B. Marquez synthesizes and extends the concept, contributing insights on fund lifecycles and LP alignment.

Statements from this episode (13)

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kaniowski: AI-Native Strategies Are Supplanting the Hire-Train-Deploy Model
“In essence, the companies will be filling the gaps in the higher train deploy model, which used to be a corporate strategy, which is now being supplanted By AI native strategies.”
Anthony Kaniowski Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 1:53
Insight
Kaniowski: Venture Builders Outperform Standalones via Shared Infrastructure
“So a venture builder is a type of a fund operating company on both. Which is focusing on producing companies in a repeatable fashion, and it is counting on having a higher success rate than launching companies individually, because you're relying on a set of s…”
Anthony Kaniowski Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 3:05
Disclosure
Kaniowski: Good Futures Generates Ideas Internally and Recruits CMU Founders
“In our case, we are doing our own ideas. We're sourcing founders from outside, particularly from Carnegie Mellon University, and we're looking for external capital as well.”
Anthony Kaniowski Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 3:55
Insight
Kaniowski: US B2B SaaS early adopters take risks European buyers avoid
“My Personal experience has been that it has been relatively easy to be, to find open doors when you are a small ventures and relatively small product looking for early adopters who are Open to some risk, willing to test the waters, willing to give something a …”
Anthony Kaniowski Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 9:25
Insight
Kaniowski: European B2B SaaS founders should target the US early or late
“So I can either recommend it very early on when somebody is still thinking that they're in the stages before they even started doing a go to market and outbound, then it's the best moment for them to shift their mindset and focus solely as a US centric or glob…”
Anthony Kaniowski Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 10:40
Opinion
Kaniowski: VCs Do Not Know How or Want to Invest in Operating Companies
“So far, what we found out is VCs don't know how to invest in an operating company and don't want to.”
Anthony Kaniowski Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 13:18
Insight
Marquez: SPV Structures May Be Easier Than Funds Because LPs Gain Flexibility
“Starting in a model that's, that resembles a special purpose vehicle versus a fund may be easier. To start in the beginning because, you know, it gives LPs a lot more flexibility and it could be easy to get them over the line.”
Kristian Marquez Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 14:50
Insight
Kaniowski: The final 20% of any startup stage wastes substantial effort
“Usually the last 20% of any stage is an area where a lot of time and effort on both sides is wasted.”
Anthony Kaniowski Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 17:52
Insight
Kaniowski: Venture building uses operational tools and mindsets from private equity
“Venture building is a discipline. Is essentially using similar tools and similar mindsets to PE operators. And there's overlap. The scale is much different, but there's an overlap in how to operationalize and go down to the essence of a decision as fast as pos…”
Anthony Kaniowski Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 18:22
Opinion
Kaniowski: Pure SaaS companies were overvalued and AI is lowering their multiples
“My reaction to that dropping valuations is that I have the impression that pure SaaS companies have been overvalued for the past years, and now the AI wave is a reason for them to be valued at lower multiples.”
Anthony Kaniowski Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 20:37
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kaniowski: Horizontal AI apps like note-takers will be integrated into incumbents
“Horizontally, and this is the most companies we see now, augmented note takers, augmented video editing platforms, I would say, They will be integrated and connected into the established companies anyway.”
Anthony Kaniowski Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 21:54
Disclosure
New AI models one-shotted several Good Futures startup ideas
“We've seen this firsthand as a few of our ideas have been basically one-shotted by newer models. And basically our building of it doesn't make sense anymore because a new model comes with a sub feature that solves that.”
Anthony Kaniowski Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 24:27
Insight
Kaniowski: Typical venture builders come from 10-15 year single-company exits
“Most people come from large exits from one company. That they've been doing for 1015 years, and then they are looking to multiply their capital by building multiple companies at the same time. This is the typical venture building profile that I see”
Anthony Kaniowski Dec 16, 2025 ▶ 28:57
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