why aren't all 173 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Partly supported
Zapier platform supports 6,000 apps, up from two at launch
“And of course, like a through line for all of this is just the explosion of number apps that are supported on the platform from two to now 6000 today.”
Assertion Supported
Foster: Veterans United is owned 50/50 by two brothers with zero outside funding
“It's owned by two brothers, 50, 50, and never raised any money.”
Assertion Supported
Shippo spent eight to nine years closing its FedEx partnership
“Just this year, we got our, like, we got FedEx to agree to this kind of account structure. So it's really, it's literally taken us like eight to nine years with certain shipping providers to get them comfortable with that.”
Assertion Supported
Behrens Wu: Shippo was rejected by YC before joining 500 Startups
“We did get into like an accelerator at some point, like we were rejected by YC and then got into 500 startups.”
Assertion Supported
Albert Wenger passed on Shippo's seed before leading its Series A
“I met one investor during our seed round, Albert Wenger from Union Square Ventures, who wouldn't invest at that point in time, but we really, like, hit it off, and he's also from Germany, and we, like, just decided to stay in touch, and I think it was more of …”
Assertion Supported
Jackson: Rewind AI raised over $33M from a16z, NEA, and Sam Altman
“You've raised over thirty three million dollars, I believe at this point from great folks, Andreessen Horowitz, NEA, Sam Altman, and of course us here at First Round.”
Assertion Supported
Siroker: Rewind compresses screen recordings 3,000x for local storage and OCR
“We capture everything your screen is showing. We compress it, you know, 3000 times smaller, so it stores, it can be stored locally. We do optical character recognition on every word that appears on your screen. And now, you know, we're doing transcription as w…”
Assertion Supported
Elliott-McCrea: Half of all software engineers joined the industry in the past decade
“You know, if you look at the last 10 years, half of everybody working as a software engineer joined the industry in the last 10 years.”
Assertion Partly supported
Kracov: Lattice grew its virtual event to 40,000 attendees
“And just to give you a sense of like how much that's scaled, flash forward five,
Years.
We had a virtual event where 40,000 people, and we called it resources for humans virtual.
That was after years and years of doing these webinars monthly.”
Assertion Partly supported
Weiss: 77 of the Fortune 100 use Slack
“77 of the Fortune 100 use Slack, and probably a hundred of them are Salesforce customers.”
Assertion Supported
Weiss outlines Google's 70-20-10 product portfolio allocation framework
“When I was at Google, they used to have this model they called seventy-twenty-ten, and I think they kind of classified as, you know, 70% should be, that first category you said, like, low-hanging fruit, obvious wins, incremental. 20% should be kind of extendin…”
Assertion Supported
Seshan: Amber Feng and Christina Cordova built Stripe Connect's initial multi-party version
“And then we had started exploring this thing called Connect where Amber Feng and Christina Cordova had built an initial version of this, like, multi-party payments idea that Someone like Shopify or someone like Lyft could be able to route payments in multiple …”
Assertion Supported
Grosser: Vercel headcount exceeds 600; Stripe reached 8,000 before departure
“When I was at Stripe, we were, I think, 8000 people by the time I left. Vercel is now north of 600.”
Assertion Supported
Grosser: Claire Hughes Johnson managed People before marketing at Stripe
“If you took Stripe under Claire, She had people, but didn't have marketing at the outset, had marketing at a later point.”
Assertion Supported
Kanter: Automotive aftermarket has a $200B repair and $40B upgrade market
“There's the kind of need-based repairs, which is, you know, somewhere as a Two hundred billion dollar market, so you know, your tire blows out, or you need a new muffler or something. And then there's the want-based purchases, which are the upgrades, and I was…”
Assertion Supported
Sekar: Meraki succeeded by selling networking gear through channel partners
“Meraki, we sold through channel partners, and it turned out that that was the way that people like to buy networking.”
Assertion Supported
Asthana: Teleport Me reached six to seven million users
“We had, I think, about six, seven million users.”
Assertion Partly supported
Lars Rasmussen introduced Cameron Adams to Canva's co-founders
“And that's when I got an introduction to my Canva co-founders, Melon Cliff, and it was actually through my old boss at Google called Lars Rasmussen. He had bumped into Melanie at a startup event over in Perth in Australia. And they got in talking, he was reall…”
Assertion Supported
Melanie Perkins' previous yearbook business generated two to three million in revenue
“I think it did two or three million dollars in revenue.”
Assertion Supported
Song: Japanese ID verification requires custom parsing for the Imperial calendar
“All their ID cards, these, they don't use a Gregorian calendar, right?
So like we had to do a lot of custom work to make sure, even for like Japanese date parsing, making sure that it respects the Imperial calendar there and all sorts of aspects.”
Assertion Supported
1Password was entirely consumer-focused and Apple-centric in 2012
“Yeah, it was all consumer at the time. Honestly, it was mostly Mac. It was like Mac and iOS. It was very, very little. I think they had a reader for Android and something similar for Windows, but it was really very much of an Apple focused company.”
Assertion Supported
1Password originally operated on a perpetual license model with third-party syncing
“And it was all license-based as well. And that was the interesting thing. So it was, you know, you would buy the license of, I don't know what password, four, maybe it was, or three. I can't even remember the version back then. And you would hold that and then…”
Assertion Supported
1Password originated as an internal autofill tool for web development testing
“And so they thought one of the ways that we can make it less expensive is to automate some of the testing. We'll just spend a few weeks, build this tool that will allow us to autofill so that when we do testing, we can use that tool to autofill addresses and c…”
Assertion Supported
The average American restaurant owner makes only $50,000 per year in profit
“The average restaurant owner is making 50,000 a year in profit. So 6000 a year is a lot.”
Assertion Supported
Amin: Clay has roughly 4,600 members in its customer Slack community
“We have maybe 4600 people today in the Slack channel, and that's pretty active.”
Assertion Supported
Germanidis: Runway's co-founders met in an NYU art and technology program
“So three co-founders we met in art school, which is not the place where usually AI companies start from. So we met at the program at NYU that was kind of focused on the intersection of art and technology.”
Assertion Supported
Rauch regrets unnecessarily launching two other open-source projects alongside Next.js
“When I launched Next, concurrently, we launched another two really successful open source projects, and there was just no need.”
Assertion Supported
Behrens Wu: Neither Shippo co-founder had prior logistics experience
“Neither one of us came up from the logistics background.”
Assertion Supported
Kracov: Lattice's HR Slack community grew to about 20,000 members
“That went from, you know, zero to like 20,000 People in the Slack community, I think it is today.”