why aren't all 13 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2030
Altemus: Humans will not return to the Moon until 2030
“And so I think it's twenty-thirty before we see boots on the moon.”
Opinion
Altemus: Lunar mining can become a commercial alternative to terrestrial strip-mining
“At the rate that we consume rare earth minerals and materials, we now have pristine areas that would have to be strip mined to find the last bastion of materials that we're looking for. We don't want to do that. We don't want to destroy our earth. So if there'…”
Disclosure
Altemus: Intuitive Machines charges roughly $1M per kilogram for lunar payloads
“We can charge roughly a million dollars a kilogram to take those payloads to the moon, whether that's a government payload or commercial payload. So if you can do that, that's roughly a hundred million dollars plus of revenue that you can generate with each mi…”
Disclosure
Altemus: Intuitive Machines will survive even if its first lander fails
“We have three missions to the moon. Failure is likely like you indicated. We have now three shots at the moon, so we are not a company that builds one lander, and if it succeeds, we're successful. If it fails, we go under. We have diversified revenue streams. …”
Assertion Partly supported
Altemus: US declared Moon strategic interest in 2018 to counter China
“Where it turned, Guy, was in 2018 the National Security Council and the National Space Council declared that the moon was now of strategic interest. China was coming on strong, and the U.S. Needed to set the norms and behaviors of how we live in space. And wor…”
Assertion Supported
Altemus: Artemis Accords permit commercial companies to own lunar samples
“So if you land on the moon, you can bring back samples and own those samples per the Artemis Accords. It's not where they belong to the sovereign governments. They can belong to commercial companies.”
Assertion Supported
Altemus: Lunar landings establish heritage site coordination, not land ownership
“You land, you own what they call a heritage site. And that means other countries or other companies that want to fly near you, if you're declared as a heritage site, need to coordinate with you before they land and damage any of the equipment that you have the…”
Assertion Partly supported
Altemus: NASA team flew lunar lander test bed 37 times at KSC
“We went ahead and built a lunar lander test bed for, to flying on earth, and we built a walking robot. We flew the walking robot to space station and we flew the lander by itself about 37 times, successfully launched it from Earth and landed it on a simulated …”
Disclosure
Altemus: Intuitive Machines had single-digit millions in revenue before lunar pivot
“And we were kind of, you know bouncing on the bottom somewhat, you know, single digit millions revenue not really gaining traction with any of the inventions.”
Assertion Partly supported
Altemus: Humanity has only returned 360 kilograms of lunar material
“For all of the moon rocks that we brought back in the history of humanity, there's only 360 kilograms of material.”
Disclosure
Altemus: Intuitive Machines 3D-prints its rocket engines at Spaceport Houston
“We actually additively manufacture or three D print our own engines. And then we test them right here. We're on Spaceport Houston, the Ellington airport.”
Disclosure
Altemus: SpaceX scheduled Intuitive Machines lunar launch for January 12, 2024
“So SpaceX has given us a launch date for January 12th of 2024. We have a five day window to get off. There's only a certain amount of days per month that you can fly to the moon where it's in the right position to where we can land at our designated landing si…”
Assertion Supported
Altemus: Only India and China have successfully landed on the Moon recently
“The very recent history, it's only been India and China. India being the latest and the, and you saw the recent Russian mission to the moon failed on the way.”