The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2028
Brain-based wearables will replace and consolidate all other wearable devices
“One is that brain-based wearables are going to replace All the other wearables that you have. That's step one. And so all that data and all that value that we're seeing with existing wearables are going to be all consolidated into one device.”
Ramses Alcaide Aug 31, 2023 ▶ 12:16 When your headphones listen to you with Ramses Alcaide of Neurable
Insight
Consumers will reject invasive implants like Neuralink unless medically necessary
“The way I would think of Neuralink is kind of like a hip replacement. You know, no one really wants a hip replacement until, you know, you actually need one. And even if they end up being 10 times better than your actual hips in the future, You probably want t…”
Ramses Alcaide Aug 31, 2023 ▶ 21:32 When your headphones listen to you with Ramses Alcaide of Neurable
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Neurable will launch a silent, thought-controlled device interface by 2025
“So, you know, it's not like a vision video of a hundred years from now. At least V-one is going to be available within the next two years.”
Ramses Alcaide Aug 31, 2023 ▶ 25:25 When your headphones listen to you with Ramses Alcaide of Neurable
Assertion Open · timeframe Aug 2028
Brain data detects Parkinson's 10 years earlier than Apple Watches
“For example, you can actually pick up Parkinson's responses using the Apple Watch. The issue is that by the time you pick it up at the hands or through walking metrics, your brain's already been dealing with it for the past 10 years. And so with the brain, you…”
Ramses Alcaide Aug 31, 2023 ▶ 11:58 When your headphones listen to you with Ramses Alcaide of Neurable
Assertion Contradicted
Harvard study shows BCI-timed breaks boost productivity by 4 hours
“Yeah, so we did a large study with a professor from Harvard, who's now a professor at Worcester Political, Technical Institute, and he had created this incredible method for identifying the individual's focus, and so what we were able to do, and we did close t…”
Ramses Alcaide Aug 31, 2023 ▶ 17:42 When your headphones listen to you with Ramses Alcaide of Neurable
Assertion Contradicted
Neurable headphones let users control music playback using brain activity
“So we have the ability to, for example, use brain activity to do Very minimal controls on the hardware as well too. So changing music tracks, play and pausing music.”
Ramses Alcaide Aug 31, 2023 ▶ 13:46 When your headphones listen to you with Ramses Alcaide of Neurable
Assertion Partly supported
Machine learning cuts EEG response times from minutes to 60 seconds
“And so the work that I did was essentially machine learning classification so that we could interpret their brain activity at a much higher level of accuracy. And what that enabled us to do is reduce The response time from one to five minutes to anywhere betwe…”
Ramses Alcaide Aug 31, 2023 ▶ 4:47 When your headphones listen to you with Ramses Alcaide of Neurable
Disclosure
Neurable will partner with OEMs to launch neural headphones and helmets
“We work with different companies OEMs, some of, you know, the largest in the world are some of the ones that we're working with, and we help them release Neurable powered products. The first one is going to be a pair of headphones. Eventually it's going to be …”
Ramses Alcaide Aug 31, 2023 ▶ 29:00 When your headphones listen to you with Ramses Alcaide of Neurable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Alcaide founded Neurable after his uncle lost both legs in an accident
“Really, the idea of Nurbel, and kind of the concept of what I've dedicated my life to started when I was about eight years old. My uncle got into a trucking accident in Mexico, and he, you know, he lost both his legs, and it was really intense time for the fam…”
Ramses Alcaide Aug 31, 2023 ▶ 1:51 When your headphones listen to you with Ramses Alcaide of Neurable
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