why aren't all 16 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rubin: Masayoshi Son said GSI Commerce was not losing enough money in 2000
“I remember having the founder of SoftBank, Masayoshi's son, tell me in 2000 that we weren't losing enough money.”
Disclosure
Rubin plans to remain CEO of Fanatics until he dies
“Till I die.”
Opinion
Rubin: Anyone who denies luck's necessity in business is 'full of shit'
“Well, anyone who says that you don't need luck to be successful in business is full of shit or doesn't understand. You definitely need some luck to go with it. You need luck and timing are a very important ingredient.”
Disclosure
Rubin: Has not read a complete book since ninth grade
“The last book that I read was the book called The Swoosh, The Unauthorized Story of Nike. I read it I think when I was in Eighth or ninth grade”
Disclosure
Rubin: 99% chance he ignores three-to-four paragraph emails
“If someone sends me an email that's, you know, three or four paragraphs, I'm 99% not reading it.”
Disclosure
Rubin: Willing to work with adversaries but never forgets grudges
“If it's in the greater interest of the greater good, I'll a hundred percent work with them, but I got a long memory for people who've done me wrong, and that, that, I think that makes me smarter, that makes me better, that makes sure I don't, you know, get scr…”
Assertion Contradicted
Rubin: At age 21, his business did $120M with $50M debt
“By the time I was... 21. I bet you I owed the bank fifty million dollars. Because I had a business that was doing one hundred twenty million bucks, buying and selling clothes. I always had to finance the inventory and finance the accounts receivable.”
Assertion Contradicted
Rubin: Believes he was youngest public company CEO in the 1990s
“I think I was the youngest person to ever run a public company at that point, I think, in the world.”
Assertion Partly supported
Rubin: Fanatics Commerce division grew from $250M to $6.7B in revenue
“The business has grown from two hundred fifty million dollars when I bought it back from eBay, to this year that division is like a 6.7 billion dollar business, ok?”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rubin: Averaged 4.5 hours of sleep a night over 20 years
“My sleep, if you look, if you average the last 20 years, it's probably four and a half hours a night.”
Disclosure
Rubin: Does not know the alphabet and gets stuck around M-N-P
“I don't know the alphabet. I get stuck. Around MNP, and I've never, and I've kind of decided that I'm not gonna relearn it, because I kind of like that I could not be able to do the alphabet legitimately.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rubin: His ski shop hit $500k revenue and $100k profit at 15
“Second year, very good. I think we got up to About 500,000 dollars in business and maybe made a hundred grand. You know, again, I'm 15 years old.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rubin: Sued roughly 100 times at age 16 over unpaid ski bills
“I'd say the spring of the year that I was 16, I probably got sued a hundred times.”
Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Rubin: Bought back Fanatics and GSI's licensed business for $330M
“We bought back Fanatics, including the licensed business that GSI had for three hundred thirty million bucks.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rubin: Major sports leagues now drive one-third of sales direct-to-consumer
“When we started, it might have been one or two percent of business would go through the NFL or Major League Baseball or NBA's direct-to-consumer business. Today, it's about a third would go through their own direct-to-consumer business.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Rubin: At age 13, generated $25k selling consigned ski equipment
“And that year, at 13 years old, I did 25,000 dollars in revenue.”